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Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

Oil Vol. $238,058 50 traders

0-2093%
40-601%
20-405%
60-800%
$238,058 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

5
Chance
0-20
93%
20-40
5% ▼ 1
40-60
1%
60-80
<1%
80+
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xbb48…52d9 BUY Yes $5.20 11m ago
  • 0x1bf7…6f57 SELL Yes $5.59 1h ago
  • 0x1eff…9e03 SELL No $0.89 5h ago
  • 0xe450…91b9 BUY Yes $0.25 5h ago
  • 0x941b…e827 SELL No $3.45 5h ago
  • 0x56e7…7c0b BUY Yes $573.13 5h ago
  • 0xdd89…4f5d SELL Yes $45.80 8h ago
  • 0xcdf5…e344 SELL Yes $68.78 8h ago
  • 0x73df…c515 SELL Yes $45.85 8h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $70.68 8h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $73.05 8h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $91.70 8h ago
  • 0xff06…2f60 SELL Yes $518.61 8h ago
  • 0x8c2c…45f3 BUY Yes $10.00 12h ago
  • 0x1c34…195e BUY No $3.00 12h ago
  • 0xfc1f…a246 BUY Yes $125.00 13h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $0.37 18h ago
  • 0xfb12…d1b3 BUY No $1.00 18h ago
  • 0x300c…6a92 SELL Yes $18.50 18h ago
  • 0x56e7…7c0b BUY Yes $93.20 18h ago
  • 0xcdf5…e344 SELL Yes $18.50 20h ago
  • 0x5656…dc08 SELL Yes $46.48 20h ago
  • 0x300c…6a92 SELL Yes $326.68 20h ago
  • 0x300c…6a92 SELL Yes $122.39 20h ago
  • 0x12cc…e696 BUY Yes $10.00 20h ago
  • 0x7a70…95dd SELL Yes $0.10 21h ago
  • 0x8a78…4898 BUY No $1.00 22h ago
  • 0x7a70…95dd SELL Yes $0.05 22h ago
  • 0x839f…d3f5 BUY Yes $1.00 22h ago
  • 0xcdf5…e344 SELL No $2.75 22h ago
  • 0x7a70…95dd BUY No $41.80 22h ago
  • 0x7a70…95dd BUY No $4.80 22h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $47.50 22h ago
  • 0x7a70…95dd BUY No $49.40 22h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $49.40 22h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $49.90 22h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $124.75 22h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $49.95 22h ago
  • 0x0f99…6734 SELL No $12.38 22h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $118.75 22h ago

This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for July 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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