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0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

Iran Vol. $408,475 50 traders

July 319%
July 140%
July 70%
June 300%
$408,475 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

4
Chance
June 30 Resolved
0%
July 7 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
July 14 Resolved
0% ▼ 2
July 31
9%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x56e7…7c0b SELL No $371.05 17m ago
  • 0x56e7…7c0b SELL No $55.44 17m ago
  • 0x56e7…7c0b SELL No $187.00 20m ago
  • 0x56e7…7c0b SELL No $130.02 31m ago
  • 0x1f09…1f55 BUY Yes $1.50 2h ago
  • 0x72de…a5ed SELL Yes $56.67 2h ago
  • 0x9d77…cf31 SELL Yes $14.86 4h ago
  • 0x9d77…cf31 SELL Yes $21.50 4h ago
  • 0x334a…d8b4 BUY Yes $5.29 7h ago
  • 0x334a…d8b4 BUY Yes $2.67 7h ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $7.91 9h ago
  • 0x334a…d8b4 BUY Yes $3.98 10h ago
  • 0xbbe3…5b92 BUY Yes $10.00 13h ago
  • 0x9d77…cf31 SELL Yes $43.07 13h ago
  • 0x9d73…216b SELL Yes $28.26 14h ago
  • 0x9d77…cf31 BUY Yes $21.70 18h ago
  • 0x56e7…7c0b SELL No $638.22 18h ago
  • 0x9d77…cf31 BUY Yes $35.00 20h ago
  • 0x56c2…5a01 BUY Yes $1.00 23h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY Yes $1.85 23h ago
  • 0x6c2a…b7b5 BUY No $13.58 Jul 24
  • 0xf9b0…a817 SELL No $90.30 Jul 24
  • 0x1b4c…d6a2 SELL No $14.48 Jul 23
  • 0x9014…5b73 BUY Yes $15.00 Jul 23
  • 0x9014…5b73 BUY Yes $15.00 Jul 23
  • 0x5de7…540c BUY No $62.10 Jul 21
  • 0x5a79…6296 BUY No $354.16 Jul 21
  • 0xa108…abd3 BUY No $2000.00 Jul 21
  • 0xd2cb…43ee BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 21
  • 0x5a79…6296 BUY No $104.58 Jul 21
  • 0xfb64…c2ab SELL Yes $0.16 Jul 21
  • 0xe172…e8e0 SELL No $118.81 Jul 21
  • 0x7ed1…3363 BUY No $100.00 Jul 21
  • 0x3eae…e2ed BUY No $1255.04 Jul 21
  • 0xb465…f139 SELL No $1.53 Jul 20
  • 0xb465…f139 BUY No $1.59 Jul 20
  • 0x58f1…7032 SELL No $24.12 Jul 20
  • 0xfb64…c2ab BUY Yes $1.94 Jul 20
  • 0x9bb3…699c SELL No $112.42 Jul 20
  • 0xe1a3…24ea BUY Yes $29.00 Jul 20

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to 0 for any date between June 26 and the specified date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No." Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF PortWatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to 0, or once complete data has been published for the specified period without such a publication. If complete data for the specified period has not been published within 28 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF PortWatch differs from alternative sources. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying except in the case of data integrity issues. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Comments

Onswaggie Jul 13

At 5 p.m. ET today, U.S. Central Command forces began launching more strikes against Iran to continue degrading their ability to attack civilian mariners and commercial ships freely transiting the Strait of Hormuz. The Commander in Chief has directed the strikes to hold Iranian forces accountable.

yungsoleimani Jul 8

Sorry i dont make the rules i just collect the money

BrightStars Jul 8

you misunderstand as always

yungsoleimani Jul 8

you just a little kid man

yungsoleimani Jul 8

Yopp