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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Military Strikes Vol. $48,748,451 974 traders

Yes22%
No79%
$48,748,451 Vol. Military Strikes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
22% ▲ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0xae1d…e333 BUY Yes $44.00 4m ago
  • 0x34cf…e512 BUY Yes $11.00 54m ago
  • 0x121c…395a BUY Yes $292.87 56m ago
  • 0x8df3…daf0 BUY No $1.00 59m ago
  • 0x384b…8645 SELL Yes $1.05 1h ago
  • 0xc1a8…dab3 SELL Yes $1.57 1h ago
  • 0xb12d…26d1 BUY Yes $1.00 2h ago
  • 0xb486…214b SELL Yes $12.68 2h ago
  • 0xb12d…26d1 BUY Yes $1.00 2h ago
  • 0xb202…de7c BUY No $1.00 2h ago
  • 0x4d80…6760 SELL Yes $19.38 2h ago
  • 0x41e8…b994 BUY No $16138.31 2h ago
  • 0x2c19…e131 SELL Yes $733.33 2h ago
  • 0xb486…214b BUY Yes $10.60 2h ago
  • 0x2721…cf8a SELL No $42.54 3h ago
  • 0x73f7…6099 SELL No $616.00 3h ago
  • 0x5215…5840 SELL No $13.54 3h ago
  • 0x9f96…8ec1 BUY Yes $50.00 3h ago
  • 0xa484…05bc BUY Yes $20.00 4h ago
  • 0x8fce…2566 SELL No $57.52 4h ago
  • 0x6d02…6255 BUY Yes $50.60 4h ago
  • 0x0dc4…3c1d BUY No $11.00 4h ago
  • 0x7820…b81a BUY Yes $75.00 5h ago
  • 0xe01e…db1f SELL No $74.94 5h ago
  • 0xc754…bb99 SELL No $1.02 5h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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