Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
Outcomes
6Recent trades
40- 0xd056…f1be SELL No $169.99 26m ago
- 0xf6d2…7048 BUY No $1.90 1h ago
- 0xf6d2…7048 BUY No $38.00 1h ago
- 0xf6d2…7048 BUY No $17.64 1h ago
- 0x29a1…5645 SELL No $2.28 1h ago
- 0xe762…064b SELL No $5.33 1h ago
- 0xca08…1267 SELL No $8.00 1h ago
- 0x2130…ffb2 SELL No $0.06 1h ago
- 0xf6d2…7048 BUY No $112.38 1h ago
- 0x72fc…b7fa BUY No $25.00 2h ago
- 0xf333…ba41 SELL Yes $224.07 2h ago
- 0xca08…1267 SELL No $7.50 2h ago
- 0x29a1…5645 SELL No $2.14 2h ago
- 0xe762…064b SELL No $4.77 2h ago
- 0xeaa9…1737 SELL Yes $246.00 2h ago
- 0x9b22…3a92 SELL No $1.69 2h ago
- 0xf333…ba41 SELL Yes $166.30 2h ago
- 0x2130…ffb2 SELL No $0.06 2h ago
- 0xb5c4…cb3b SELL No $2.59 2h ago
- 0x20aa…e26b SELL No $2.98 2h ago
- 0x42c7…c415 SELL No $5.31 2h ago
- 0x3387…c3f7 SELL No $7.77 2h ago
- 0x84d4…77a9 SELL No $28.64 2h ago
- 0x4b9b…7a9f SELL No $1.94 2h ago
- 0x5449…992b SELL No $2.13 2h ago
- 0xfa64…7e3d SELL No $801.98 Jul 1
- 0x9253…344c SELL No $348.56 Jul 1
- 0x7beb…7b8f SELL No $0.51 Jul 1
- 0x3329…43a6 SELL Yes $0.10 Jul 1
- 0x9797…2532 SELL Yes $0.04 Jul 1
- 0x90b7…0b0d SELL Yes $0.10 Jul 1
- 0xbe53…2dba SELL No $9.98 Jul 1
- 0x5449…992b BUY No $2.50 Jul 1
- 0x0b65…293e BUY No $49.85 Jul 1
- 0x7beb…7b8f SELL No $0.50 Jul 1
- 0x5449…992b BUY No $2.50 Jul 1
- 0x0b65…293e BUY No $344.02 Jul 1
- 0xf01a…f231 SELL Yes $0.56 Jul 1
- 0xecfa…c401 BUY No $3.00 Jun 30
- 0xbe53…2dba BUY No $9.80 Jun 30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Huliaipole, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47°39'45.5"N 36°15'13.1"E) by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Huliaipole will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Once Russia captures the entirety of Huliaipole, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/vXBbP9idYDbbC21RA The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Comments
Right now the Ukrainians are led by the greatest commander Drapatyi. In a few days he will completely take Huliaipole. To doubt his invincibility is to doubt the sunrise.
No chance against ISW. They don’t even trust their “proven” alcoholic expert anymore.
Look at the map of the General Staff of Ukraine on the Huliaipole direction 🥴
ok
BlackPepik, congratulations. Thank you for the liquidity.
Get ready to delete comments🤡
ISW usually has a lag of 1–4 months relative to reality. For Novoaleksandrovka, for example, the actual lag was ~3 months; for Huliaipole the lag is already about 30 days… Until one Ukrainian independent analyst spells it out for these kids from ISW, they practically update nothing. It is astonishing that such id*ots work at ISW and receive huge salaries from the government for it. This world is surrealism.
seems they are nothing but propagandist tools
what a gangsta , blackpepik
just crushing the isw scam
I can imagine his face when it will be NO in September 🤣🤣🤣
I can imagine your face when it turns YES in a few hours😆
It’s turns yes tonight bcz one Ukrainian mil analytic….
DeepState has already marked the Hulaipole as captured
DeepState has already marked the Hulaipole as captured on June 28th.
interesting new market manipulation
ISW is a joke, I'd tell them that too if I wasn't too lazy to make a twitter account
absolutely ridiculous mapping by ISW on this, they are costing a lot of people a lot of money that bet on this in good faith
I wonder if any employee of ISW would like to bet whether they can find a single Ukrainian soldier left in Huliaipole or not?
When june market?
Soon.
where can you be reached, looking for partners
Send me a dm on X. @RM9918196317549
Why isn't is marked as captured? It has been captured for days already
Months.
what is going on with the map???
Crazy that they haven't even made it infiltrating yet
Please no holder continue to pump. I need to refill
Thanks to all how you suckers, you did a good job
dude you good sucker
Not as good as your dad. Did he went back from grocery with the milk ?
Russia is advancing in Huyiapole right now. Watch the latest report in YT Weeb Union. ISW will have to update the situation by sunday.
В БРИФИНГЕ КОНАШЕНКОВА УНИЧТОЖЕНО ДО ДВУХСТА НАЦИОНАЛИСТОВ КИЕВСКИЙ РЕЖИМ СКОРО ПАДЕТ
YES normies are going to get repped
ЗАВТРА НАЧНЕТСЯ НОВОЕ НАСТУПЛЕНИЕ ПЫПАШЛАХТ И ПЫПА ЗАКРАСИТ ЭТУ КЛЕТКУ!
Why pump
All the NO holders are gonna get screwed. They will update it in third or the fourth week of March.
дебил там перемирие на фронте
It's actually way more likely they don't update it now until next month but I CBF chasing.
The ceasefire was meant for the Easter time period alone even then violations did happen. It's now on the hands of ISW to update it
April?
Go Ukraine you can do this! Were proud of you!
Happy April 1st!!
Hope they paint it April 1 for the lols
like and repost pls [link removed]
I wrote ISW in X. This is market manipulation.
It's obviously a clear manipulation, but they will never explain anything about that. They will just randomly paint this piece one day without any explanation. Betting "yes" on "Will Russia capture all of .." markets is a pure gambling.
There was already a case when I wrote to them and on the same day they clarified the map
Какой же ты дегенерат всё таки
U are weird and goofy
Russian soldiers only had to capture a couple of potato beds in this city for the municipality to be considered captured.🤔
ISW intern before starting work every day
Funny thing ISW consider the city as fully captured
The Russian Federation has long since captured this settlement.
yeeeeesssss
One little Ukronazi left all alone; He went out and hanged himself and then there were none.
My dick, sick and dangerous Your dick, quick and painless