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Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

China Vol. $1,431,161 50 traders

Yes2%
No99%
$1,431,161 Vol. China
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
2%

Recent trades

25
  • 0xd44a…e910 BUY No $4.38 1h ago
  • 0x1cb7…3ab7 BUY No $1.76 2h ago
  • 0xec97…2fbd BUY No $3.50 13h ago
  • 0xa5a5…a4b6 SELL Yes $1.00 17h ago
  • 0x6e0b…8552 BUY No $4.21 18h ago
  • 0xfb17…abeb SELL Yes $0.70 19h ago
  • 0xfb17…abeb BUY Yes $0.80 19h ago
  • 0xde76…0ee6 SELL No $15.11 20h ago
  • 0x7fca…8746 BUY No $98.60 20h ago
  • 0x8eeb…4962 BUY No $147.90 Jul 27
  • 0xe97c…ceef SELL Yes $1.87 Jul 26
  • 0xd584…aa62 BUY No $527.31 Jul 26
  • 0x179e…551e BUY No $49.20 Jul 26
  • 0x9bf2…57d4 BUY Yes $1.80 Jul 26
  • 0x9bf2…57d4 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 26
  • 0xb839…33e5 SELL No $4.92 Jul 25
  • 0x5381…b9b9 BUY No $10.00 Jul 25
  • 0xfa4a…5a75 SELL Yes $5.05 Jul 25
  • 0x3148…dcf4 SELL No $19.66 Jul 25
  • 0x5768…a9d8 SELL No $1.29 Jul 25
  • 0xdbe4…e51f BUY No $29.52 Jul 25
  • 0x2973…700d SELL No $199.79 Jul 25
  • 0x8087…6b34 SELL No $1.00 Jul 25
  • 0x01a4…1029 SELL No $1.00 Jul 25
  • 0x929d…53ff SELL No $1.00 Jul 25

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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