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Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

China Vol. $401,941 50 traders

Yes11%
No90%
$401,941 Vol. China
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
11% ▲ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0x6779…2ff6 SELL No $4154.01 9h ago
  • 0x6779…2ff6 SELL No $2235.66 12h ago
  • 0x60a5…f52e SELL Yes $43.36 12h ago
  • 0x083b…a478 BUY No $300.00 14h ago
  • 0xc3e2…b6d4 BUY No $1.00 20h ago
  • 0x302a…8227 BUY No $210.00 Jul 26
  • 0xd584…aa62 BUY No $182.00 Jul 26
  • 0x4265…22d2 SELL No $72.00 Jul 26
  • 0x8b47…944e BUY No $5.00 Jul 26
  • 0x30d3…ba7f BUY No $10.50 Jul 26
  • 0x955c…24af BUY No $11.00 Jul 26
  • 0x57ea…5912 BUY No $11.00 Jul 25
  • 0x8266…2393 BUY No $5.00 Jul 25
  • 0xe85e…fd9f SELL No $4.50 Jul 24
  • 0x02af…17ca SELL No $9.89 Jul 24
  • 0x55b2…e941 BUY Yes $69.00 Jul 24
  • 0x475a…0364 BUY No $10.00 Jul 24
  • 0x02af…17ca BUY No $10.00 Jul 24
  • 0x02af…17ca SELL No $4.94 Jul 24
  • 0x02af…17ca BUY No $5.00 Jul 24
  • 0x55b2…e941 BUY Yes $115.00 Jul 24
  • 0x7bf0…d58e SELL No $5.05 Jul 24
  • 0x4e84…ef69 SELL No $113.14 Jul 24
  • 0xacbb…6cb4 BUY No $1200.00 Jul 24
  • 0x7487…fc0c BUY No $546.00 Jul 23

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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