Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Politics Vol. $39,164,144 783 traders

Recent trades

25

Trader Side Amount Time

• 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 3m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 3m ago
• 0xe29f…e326 SELL No $4.98 5m ago
• 0xe29f…e326 BUY No $4.99 5m ago
• 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 19m ago
• 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 19m ago
• 0xe29f…e326 SELL No $4.98 22m ago
• 0xe29f…e326 BUY No $4.99 22m ago
• 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 26m ago
• 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 26m ago
• 0xe1f2…a991 BUY No $17.00 32m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 34m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 34m ago
• 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 36m ago
• 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 36m ago
• 0x8df3…daf0 BUY No $2.00 47m ago
• 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 1h ago
• 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 1h ago
• 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 1h ago
• 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 1h ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 1h ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 1h ago
• 0xe29f…e326 SELL No $4.98 1h ago
• 0xe29f…e326 BUY No $4.99 1h ago
• 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 1h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317 May 7

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0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317 May 7

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