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Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Politics Vol. $201,889 50 traders

Yes41%
No60%
$201,889 Vol. Politics
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
41% ▲ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0xb921…b539 BUY No $1.80 3m ago
  • 0xeafd…9f18 BUY Yes $2.05 17m ago
  • 0xa1f7…c11f BUY No $1.80 1h ago
  • 0x20f2…a18e SELL Yes $20.00 1h ago
  • 0xa06f…90ac SELL Yes $20.00 1h ago
  • 0x37e2…13e1 SELL Yes $20.23 1h ago
  • 0x31ec…d394 SELL Yes $20.50 1h ago
  • 0x411f…52bd BUY Yes $1.30 1h ago
  • 0x4dbc…9fea SELL Yes $20.50 1h ago
  • 0x0657…2b79 SELL Yes $20.50 1h ago
  • 0x002d…47a2 SELL Yes $20.50 1h ago
  • 0xafd0…461a BUY No $2.95 1h ago
  • 0xd99c…8490 SELL Yes $20.50 1h ago
  • 0xc026…e9ee BUY Yes $2.10 1h ago
  • 0xf79e…e434 SELL Yes $20.50 1h ago
  • 0xb22a…1479 SELL Yes $20.50 1h ago
  • 0xd219…0412 SELL Yes $20.50 1h ago
  • 0x6b67…3998 SELL Yes $20.50 2h ago
  • 0xc798…6254 SELL Yes $20.50 2h ago
  • 0x239f…8b82 SELL Yes $20.50 2h ago
  • 0x608f…9065 SELL Yes $20.50 2h ago
  • 0xc754…bb99 BUY Yes $2.09 3h ago
  • 0x7e80…631b SELL Yes $8.20 3h ago
  • 0x7d58…462d SELL Yes $20.50 3h ago
  • 0x6640…2202 BUY No $1561.35 3h ago

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Comments

Anthest 10h ago

Quite likely now, due to the recent Islamic terror attack legitimising the AfDs position on migration and assimilation.

vasssya Jul 25

you know where is drop?

pmarket0305 Jun 10

How will this market resolve, if they change the 5% hurdle after the election with the old Landtags majority (before the constituting session of the new Landtag) to revoke the won majority of AfD? I would prefer a bet "Will Ulrich Siegmund become Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt" - much less ambiguity, or a clarification that it is the final majority after constitution of the new Landtag that counts.

Baumfreund Jun 13

Even tho these tyrants will do everything to stay in power and enrich themselves this wont happen. It's so obviously unconstitutional to change the terms of a prior election. If they do it they will do it before the election.

meddl May 21

They are in a great position of winning, maybe I have made a mistake

insightrole Jun 2

abgesehen davon fahr ich garkein motorrad

WageringGrandma Jun 9

Na, Im back your bet. Majority, yes. Maybe even high 40s. Super majority? Dont think so.

pontakun Jun 18

You'll probably be fine. Even if they win an absolute majority, the other special democrats will definitely do something shady to undo it.

meddl Jun 22

Super majority is very likely if they reach 42-44%

Gustavo777 May 16

I am Colombiaan, for the good of europe, I hope AFD wins the majority

0x4C2b328E069961e1644c6d9905126900F26Ddc38-1772781687958 May 18

Very hard for AFD. They are planning to change laws to also allow smaller parties to get seats. so they will change it that afd will not get most seats

Baumfreund May 18

Doing that would be political suicide for them.

BrumelCompanyLTD May 14

immer geradeus

Baumfreund May 13

Es wird Zeit