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Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Politics Vol. $69,167 50 traders

J.D. Vance90%
Pete Buttigieg86%
Ted Cruz85%
Gavin Newsom82%
$69,167 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

71
Chance
Gavin Newsom
82% ▲ 1
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
58%
Pete Buttigieg
86% ▲ 1
Josh Shapiro
64%
Wes Moore
63%
Stephen A. Smith
19%
Kamala Harris
72% ▼ 1
Gretchen Whitmer
38% ▼ 1
Andy Beshear
78%
Jon Ossoff
63%
Mark Cuban
19%
J.B. Pritzker
67% ▲ 2
Raphael Warnock
35%
Cory Booker
66% ▲ 1
Tim Walz
10%
Michelle Obama
16%
Mark Kelly
64%
Rahm Emanuel
74% ▲ 1
Gina Raimondo
21% ▲ 1
Zohran Mamdani
11%
Roy Cooper
14%
John Fetterman
25%
Jared Polis
37%
Jon Stewart
18%
Barack Obama
2%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Liz Cheney
14%
Bernie Sanders
16% ▲ 2
Phil Murphy
22%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
37%
George Clooney
17%
Chelsea Clinton
10%
MrBeast
9%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
16%
Oprah Winfrey
12% ▼ 1
Andrew Yang
69% ▲ 1
Beto O’Rourke
27% ▲ 1
Kim Kardashian
14%
Donald Trump
12% ▲ 1
J.D. Vance
90%
Marco Rubio
28% ▲ 2
Tulsi Gabbard
19%
Glenn Youngkin
33% ▲ 3
Donald Trump Jr.
18% ▼ 1
Ron DeSantis
80% ▼ 1
Nikki Haley
36% ▼ 3
Vivek Ramaswamy
20%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
49% ▼ 3
Greg Abbott
22% ▼ 2
Brian Kemp
25%
Byron Donalds
23%
Elise Stefanik
30%
Josh Hawley
43% ▼ 15
Ted Cruz
85% ▼ 3
Elon Musk
20%
Matt Gaetz
31% ▼ 22
Katie Britt
22%
John Thune
15% ▼ 1
Kristi Noem
30% ▲ 1
Mike Pence
18%
Tucker Carlson
26%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
16%
Ivanka Trump
28%
Tom Brady
15%
Rand Paul
36%
Steve Bannon
19%
Erika Kirk
8%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
29% ▼ 1
Don Lemon
28% ▲ 1
Candace Owens
32% ▼ 17

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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