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Chance
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Gavin Newsom11%
Donald Trump12%
Hunter Biden3%
Kamala Harris12%
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Outcomes
72Candace Owens Resolved
0%
Gavin Newsom
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
▼ 1
Pete Buttigieg
11%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
11%
Kamala Harris
12%
▼ 1
Gretchen Whitmer
7%
Andy Beshear
11%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
8%
J.B. Pritzker
9%
Raphael Warnock
7%
Cory Booker
5%
Tim Walz
2%
▼ 4
Michelle Obama
2%
Mark Kelly
10%
Rahm Emanuel
12%
Gina Raimondo
4%
Zohran Mamdani
3%
Roy Cooper
2%
▲ 1
John Fetterman
2%
▼ 1
Jared Polis
4%
Jon Stewart
3%
Barack Obama
2%
Hillary Clinton
3%
▼ 1
Liz Cheney
3%
Bernie Sanders
1%
Phil Murphy
1%
LeBron James
2%
Hunter Biden
3%
▼ 1
George Clooney
7%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
MrBeast
3%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
3%
▼ 1
Andrew Yang
3%
▲ 1
Beto O’Rourke
2%
Kim Kardashian
3%
Donald Trump
16%
▲ 7
J.D. Vance
5%
Marco Rubio
5%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
▼ 4
Glenn Youngkin
5%
Donald Trump Jr.
5%
Ron DeSantis
6%
Nikki Haley
3%
Vivek Ramaswamy
6%
▼ 1
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%
Greg Abbott
4%
Brian Kemp
9%
Byron Donalds
2%
▲ 1
Elise Stefanik
3%
▼ 1
Josh Hawley
2%
▲ 1
Ted Cruz
5%
▼ 1
Elon Musk
5%
Matt Gaetz
8%
▼ 1
Katie Britt
1%
John Thune
6%
Kristi Noem
4%
Mike Pence
<1%
Tucker Carlson
11%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5%
Ivanka Trump
2%
▼ 1
Tom Brady
2%
▼ 2
Rand Paul
8%
Steve Bannon
9%
▲ 1
Erika Kirk
5%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
8%
Candace Owens
9%
Don Lemon
7%
Recent trades
40- 0x9989…6c5f SELL No $5.01 4h ago
- 0x4ae0…d500 SELL No $5.29 8h ago
- 0x5529…e5b9 BUY No $149.54 11h ago
- 0x9989…6c5f BUY No $5.02 11h ago
- 0x4ae0…d500 BUY No $5.30 14h ago
- 0xcdba…58c5 SELL No $4.82 17h ago
- 0xcdba…58c5 BUY No $4.88 21h ago
- 0xb924…0803 SELL Yes $3.00 Jul 27
- 0xa86f…022c SELL Yes $3.00 Jul 27
- 0x1798…fbf4 BUY Yes $1.14 Jul 26
- 0x1c14…0869 SELL No $252.10 Jul 26
- 0x50c3…8e78 SELL No $2.70 Jul 26
- 0x63dd…8e99 SELL No $6.55 Jul 26
- 0xb5b2…3293 SELL No $1.43 Jul 26
- 0x97e0…2688 SELL No $4.69 Jul 26
- 0x7dea…032c SELL No $2.73 Jul 26
- 0x5f13…9cdc SELL No $5.54 Jul 26
- 0x8785…49b1 SELL Yes $7.14 Jul 26
- 0xf524…8178 SELL Yes $3.00 Jul 26
- 0x50c3…8e78 BUY No $2.73 Jul 26
- 0x6a66…f9a9 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 26
- 0xe466…ce09 SELL No $1.48 Jul 26
- 0xb5b2…3293 BUY No $1.44 Jul 26
- 0x7dea…032c BUY No $2.74 Jul 26
- 0x63dd…8e99 BUY No $6.62 Jul 26
- 0x97e0…2688 BUY No $4.74 Jul 26
- 0x3167…e39b SELL No $2.88 Jul 26
- 0x5f13…9cdc BUY No $5.55 Jul 26
- 0xe466…ce09 BUY No $1.48 Jul 26
- 0x6c10…df5c BUY No $189.00 Jul 26
- 0x3167…e39b BUY No $2.88 Jul 26
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $9.00 Jul 25
- 0x270b…e632 SELL Yes $3.00 Jul 25
- 0x6c10…df5c BUY No $746.05 Jul 25
- 0xd600…b66e BUY Yes $0.55 Jul 25
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $9.90 Jul 25
- 0x270b…e632 SELL Yes $3.30 Jul 25
- 0x6c10…df5c BUY No $1069.86 Jul 25
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $6.39 Jul 25
- 0x8785…49b1 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 25
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comments
Donald Trump Announced he would run in 2028 at the White House Correspondent's Dinner. Should resolve yes for Trump.
look at the chart lol
Believe
From Hunter today on X "Just saying... No Democrat has won the White House this century without a Biden on the ticket."
Hunter Biden will be announcing a run for President. He's started doing interviews, just posted on X for the first time in years after deleting his account. His first post writes "I'm Hunter Biden. You've never actually heard from me." Here begins the public relations campaign of the former president's son as he prepares a Presidential run. Will he win? Who knows, but long odds isn't stopping Kamala from running either.
Erika Kirk- this witch will go far.
dog take your meds you're tripin
Add Joe Kent
I'll tell you a joke. Why doesn't Shaquille O'Neal run for president? He'd win.
Mr. Beast is 27
Haha, who the f ck is voting yes for Barack? Do you not realize he legally cannot run for president again? Not that laws matter in the US any longer.
Musk also cannot run yet he has 10%.
But he can say will.
One thing is announcing he will, other is going factually. This market will solve with the first.
MTG at 9-1? Easiest bet on this site.
I agree, but the deadline is short...
Before 2027 is crazy
She is counter signaling the Trump admin on everything, lining herself up as the real MAGA. Even today she is pushing for "states rights" for AI not 16 hours after Trump says AI will be "woke" if each state sets its own standards. 2027 is close but they start running by summer 2026. At 9-1, really good odds compared to other options in this market.
bad selling timing dude...
His name is Cory Booker, not Corey.
On the GOP side, definitely look for Tim Scott and J.D. Vance to make early moves. For the Dems, if the current administration doesn't run, expect Gretchen Whitmer or someone new from the Cabinet.