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Which company has best AI model end of July?

Tech Vol. $7,971,062 159 traders

Anthropic99%
OpenAI0%
Google0%
xAI0%
$7,971,062 Vol. Tech

Outcomes

26
Chance
Google
<1%
Anthropic
>99%
OpenAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meta
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Company A
0%
Company B
0%
Company C
0%
Company D
0%
Company E
0%
Company F
0%
Company G
0%
Company H
0%
Company I
0%
Company K
0%
Other
0%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xaac7…7673 BUY Yes $26.00 8m ago
  • 0xf26a…f593 BUY No $14.00 25m ago
  • 0xa0c7…c29d BUY No $1.00 29m ago
  • 0x02e9…a011 BUY No $12.00 29m ago
  • 0xf13c…8d51 BUY Yes $1.10 33m ago
  • 0xd4a1…af31 BUY Yes $12.00 35m ago
  • 0x57df…1a43 BUY No $1.60 40m ago
  • 0x1f5a…509e BUY Yes $15.00 41m ago
  • 0xc0cf…e072 BUY No $10.00 43m ago
  • 0xe94e…3570 BUY Yes $1.40 44m ago
  • 0xd5be…0e42 SELL No $17.47 53m ago
  • 0xd5be…0e42 SELL No $17.09 54m ago
  • 0xea1d…e993 SELL No $4.66 54m ago
  • 0x7362…12c1 SELL No $0.05 54m ago
  • 0x42e1…fb75 BUY No $285.00 54m ago
  • 0xa9d6…499a BUY Yes $16.00 55m ago
  • 0xea1d…e993 SELL No $0.10 56m ago
  • 0xd5be…0e42 SELL No $0.37 56m ago
  • 0xfb20…77cc BUY No $2.30 57m ago
  • 0x6841…6e1f SELL Yes $188.12 1h ago
  • 0xea1d…e993 SELL No $0.47 1h ago
  • 0xd5be…0e42 SELL No $1.72 1h ago
  • 0x6418…c732 BUY No $11.00 1h ago
  • 0xea1d…e993 SELL No $0.43 1h ago
  • 0xd5be…0e42 SELL No $1.58 1h ago
  • 0xa1e3…c06a BUY No $10.00 1h ago
  • 0xea1d…e993 SELL No $0.43 1h ago
  • 0xd5be…0e42 SELL No $1.58 1h ago
  • 0x6643…d6cb SELL Yes $4.96 1h ago
  • 0x0c5a…2624 BUY No $10.00 1h ago
  • 0x0c5a…2624 BUY Yes $15.00 1h ago
  • 0x7ea0…7f2a SELL Yes $1.04 1h ago
  • 0x6431…84cf BUY Yes $9.99 1h ago
  • 0xea1d…e993 SELL No $0.04 1h ago
  • 0xea1d…e993 SELL No $0.32 1h ago
  • 0xd5be…0e42 SELL No $1.17 1h ago
  • 0x3908…d10e SELL Yes $1.15 2h ago
  • 0xe728…f4a1 BUY Yes $16.00 2h ago
  • 0xa58e…68e3 BUY Yes $1.00 2h ago
  • 0xada6…800a BUY Yes $135.05 2h ago

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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