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Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Tech Vol. $400,404 50 traders

Anthropic64%
ByteDance0%
Moonshot2%
OpenAI10%
$400,404 Vol. Tech

Outcomes

26
Chance
Google
11%
Anthropic
64%
OpenAI
10%
Alibaba
1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
4%
DeepSeek
2%
Moonshot
2% ▼ 1
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meta
2%
Amazon
<1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Company A
0%
Company B
0%
Company C
0%
Company D
0%
Company E
0%
Company F
0%
Company G
0%
Company H
0%
Company I
0%
Company K
0%
Other
0%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa144…fc6c SELL Yes $25.20 1h ago
  • 0xa144…fc6c SELL Yes $25.20 2h ago
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY Yes $1.40 4h ago
  • 0x4bc4…5221 BUY Yes $8.11 5h ago
  • 0x2b56…d1e1 BUY Yes $1.00 5h ago
  • 0xf6d6…f810 BUY Yes $6.40 8h ago
  • 0x2b56…d1e1 BUY Yes $1.00 8h ago
  • 0x2b56…d1e1 BUY Yes $1.00 9h ago
  • 0xaab8…4664 BUY Yes $38.40 10h ago
  • 0xaab8…4664 BUY Yes $6.00 10h ago
  • 0xd16b…36c0 BUY Yes $73.00 11h ago
  • 0x9601…06f5 BUY Yes $12.80 13h ago
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY No $38.72 14h ago
  • 0xf8f8…c055 BUY Yes $1.05 15h ago
  • 0xc41d…43d4 SELL Yes $1.40 15h ago
  • 0x3080…337b SELL No $59.76 15h ago
  • 0x3080…337b SELL Yes $15.30 15h ago
  • 0xe55a…ebc9 BUY Yes $1.00 17h ago
  • 0x3076…1f69 BUY Yes $1.00 18h ago
  • 0x5bf7…6b55 SELL No $1.09 20h ago
  • 0x8884…84ee SELL Yes $0.24 23h ago
  • 0x8884…84ee SELL Yes $0.80 23h ago
  • 0xc465…185c SELL No $1.80 23h ago
  • 0x2b56…d1e1 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 26
  • 0x877e…5f22 BUY Yes $200.00 Jul 26
  • 0x9219…5285 BUY Yes $9.10 Jul 26
  • 0x8a3f…83f6 BUY No $1.00 Jul 26
  • 0x6354…0a17 SELL Yes $3.70 Jul 26
  • 0xb37f…fdcf BUY Yes $2.10 Jul 26
  • 0xa255…2ffc BUY Yes $15.00 Jul 26
  • 0xa255…2ffc BUY Yes $15.00 Jul 26
  • 0xa144…fc6c BUY Yes $25.60 Jul 26
  • 0xa144…fc6c BUY Yes $25.60 Jul 26
  • 0x0be4…b548 BUY Yes $33.00 Jul 26
  • 0xcb95…611e BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 26
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY Yes $3.48 Jul 26
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY Yes $1.04 Jul 26
  • 0x6406…bc04 SELL Yes $0.14 Jul 26
  • 0x8b47…944e BUY Yes $2.00 Jul 26
  • 0xb0c8…7d91 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 26

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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