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Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Iran Vol. $3,213,664 64 traders

Other1%
Qatar18%
Oman7%
Switzerland26%
$3,213,664 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

19
Chance
No Meeting by September 30
18% ▼ 9
Oman
7%
UAE
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Qatar
18%
Switzerland
26% ▲ 1
Austria
<1%
Turkey
<1%
Iran
<1%
USA
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Italy
<1%
Iraq
1% ▲ 1
Kazakhstan
<1%
Pakistan
20%
Russia
<1%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
<1%
Other - Europe
<1%
Other
1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa4b4…2472 SELL No $34.06 30m ago
  • 0xa4b4…2472 BUY No $34.10 56m ago
  • 0x9350…4017 SELL Yes $2.70 59m ago
  • 0x150f…29c2 SELL No $340.58 59m ago
  • 0xec13…a217 SELL No $366.56 59m ago
  • 0x5a13…60f8 SELL No $363.78 59m ago
  • 0xa77e…663e SELL No $343.36 59m ago
  • 0x3733…f0e7 SELL Yes $55.31 1h ago
  • 0x9c67…a644 SELL Yes $55.31 1h ago
  • 0x80ba…7136 SELL Yes $66.03 1h ago
  • 0x2a70…d2e9 SELL Yes $66.03 1h ago
  • 0x1b08…1d75 SELL Yes $65.32 1h ago
  • 0x385b…169b SELL Yes $67.09 1h ago
  • 0xaba8…8aa1 SELL Yes $33.16 1h ago
  • 0xaba8…8aa1 SELL Yes $33.94 1h ago
  • 0xd307…baac SELL Yes $65.32 1h ago
  • 0x608f…9065 SELL Yes $9.05 1h ago
  • 0x8b1c…0f81 SELL Yes $65.32 1h ago
  • 0x1b71…de06 SELL Yes $65.32 1h ago
  • 0xa2af…6e14 SELL No $10.52 1h ago
  • 0xa2af…6e14 SELL No $8.05 1h ago
  • 0xc2d3…c62d SELL Yes $31.50 1h ago
  • 0xc2d3…c62d SELL Yes $32.90 1h ago
  • 0x4d13…72c6 SELL Yes $1.34 1h ago
  • 0x4d13…72c6 SELL Yes $63.00 1h ago
  • 0x33df…46d5 SELL Yes $64.40 1h ago
  • 0xe3aa…e85b SELL Yes $64.40 1h ago
  • 0xd9d2…09ee SELL Yes $66.50 1h ago
  • 0x3908…d10e SELL Yes $0.33 1h ago
  • 0x3908…d10e SELL Yes $1.25 1h ago
  • 0x6b67…3998 SELL Yes $9.05 2h ago
  • 0x7bbf…7ce5 BUY Yes $1.30 2h ago
  • 0x7678…22a3 SELL Yes $30.44 3h ago
  • 0x6c8b…645c SELL Yes $4.92 3h ago
  • 0x6c8b…645c BUY Yes $5.00 3h ago
  • 0x6c8b…645c SELL Yes $4.92 3h ago
  • 0x6c8b…645c BUY Yes $5.00 3h ago
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL No $10.18 4h ago
  • 0x6f43…9e9a BUY Yes $1.00 5h ago
  • 0xe84b…55e1 BUY Yes $5.00 5h ago

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins. If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.” If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.” For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa. If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.” If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.” The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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