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US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

Oil Vol. $90,375 50 traders

July 314%
August 3146%
$90,375 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

2
Chance
July 31
4% ▼ 10
August 31
46% ▼ 9

Recent trades

40
  • 0x72a1…c5e4 BUY No $2.00 1h ago
  • 0x1bf7…6f57 BUY No $10.78 2h ago
  • 0x96b2…1bff BUY No $3659.00 2h ago
  • 0x79eb…f471 SELL No $21.48 4h ago
  • 0x1a8f…2cd1 BUY No $4.20 6h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $2.00 11h ago
  • 0xf114…8003 BUY Yes $2.30 11h ago
  • 0xa6b7…d5f3 BUY Yes $452.25 11h ago
  • 0xefdd…8370 BUY No $115.94 12h ago
  • 0x3b30…100f BUY No $23.02 13h ago
  • 0xefdd…8370 BUY No $85.68 13h ago
  • 0xea30…f2a9 BUY No $263.67 14h ago
  • 0x57b0…76f4 BUY No $728.00 14h ago
  • 0xded2…4a85 BUY No $3.36 15h ago
  • 0xd19c…e07e BUY No $1.68 15h ago
  • 0x4d5a…02ea SELL No $15.39 15h ago
  • 0xe8fc…0d3b SELL No $38.50 15h ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $27.09 16h ago
  • 0xc961…db04 BUY No $847.13 16h ago
  • 0xc243…5e94 SELL No $0.29 17h ago
  • 0x0a26…1851 BUY No $65.89 17h ago
  • 0xd426…334a BUY No $7.35 17h ago
  • 0xa3f6…1326 BUY No $90.00 19h ago
  • 0xfbda…fdbb BUY No $39.00 20h ago
  • 0x2811…6818 BUY No $25.00 20h ago
  • 0xb625…415b BUY No $4.50 21h ago
  • 0xca6b…282f BUY No $10.00 21h ago
  • 0x01fb…2d69 BUY No $4.68 22h ago
  • 0xb9cd…70d3 BUY No $5.28 Jul 27
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $36.40 Jul 26
  • 0xf159…4e09 BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 26
  • 0xf159…4e09 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 26
  • 0x1299…6277 BUY Yes $20.70 Jul 26
  • 0x993c…6787 BUY Yes $14.00 Jul 26
  • 0x993c…6787 BUY Yes $53.46 Jul 26
  • 0x993c…6787 BUY Yes $112.50 Jul 26
  • 0x198a…3ca3 BUY No $87.00 Jul 26
  • 0x2698…fdd1 SELL Yes $13.00 Jul 26
  • 0xe907…cff6 BUY No $14.01 Jul 26
  • 0x5c0a…a2c3 SELL No $28.00 Jul 26

On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part. Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify. Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify. Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.

Comments

arsenelupin Jul 15

IRAN'S TOP NEGOTIATOR QALIBAF: WE MUST ALSO USE THE TOOLS OF DIPLOMACY AND NEGOTIATION TO REALIZE AND SECURE NATIONAL INTERESTS

Moly-Parket365 Jul 9

Isn't there permanent peace?