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US charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran Vol. $861,704 50 traders

July 170%
July 310%
August 312%
December 3110%
$861,704 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

4
Chance
July 17 Resolved
0%
July 31
<1%
August 31
2%
December 31
10% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0xfc70…69bc SELL No $1.13 4h ago
  • 0x14a3…076e SELL Yes $0.27 12h ago
  • 0x0e64…336d SELL No $1515.21 13h ago
  • 0x14a3…076e SELL Yes $0.83 13h ago
  • 0x5449…992b BUY No $1.10 19h ago
  • 0x64b2…55de BUY No $1.00 19h ago
  • 0xdf17…97d1 BUY No $1994.00 19h ago
  • 0x9614…d217 BUY No $4.95 21h ago
  • 0x529a…4c1d SELL No $12.83 Jul 26
  • 0x529a…4c1d SELL Yes $2.55 Jul 26
  • 0xd0db…b117 BUY No $176.94 Jul 26
  • 0x93ed…7e69 BUY No $3.06 Jul 26
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $550.02 Jul 26
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $224.98 Jul 26
  • 0x5e73…6697 SELL No $5563.51 Jul 26
  • 0xe5bd…eca4 SELL No $5.23 Jul 25
  • 0x11f8…1c4e SELL No $0.65 Jul 25
  • 0x11f8…1c4e SELL Yes $0.02 Jul 25
  • 0x11f8…1c4e SELL No $0.79 Jul 25
  • 0xff7c…b233 BUY Yes $3.49 Jul 25
  • 0xd0db…b117 BUY No $327.71 Jul 25
  • 0xe450…91b9 SELL No $1.24 Jul 25
  • 0xff91…ab3a SELL No $398.00 Jul 24
  • 0xfc70…69bc SELL No $1.17 Jul 24
  • 0x99fe…5705 SELL No $0.12 Jul 24
  • 0x876b…1703 SELL Yes $3.54 Jul 24
  • 0x99fe…5705 SELL No $0.03 Jul 24
  • 0xa3af…b7a6 BUY No $5.96 Jul 24
  • 0x4bf4…7021 SELL No $318.50 Jul 23
  • 0x99fe…5705 SELL No $0.07 Jul 23
  • 0x8e8f…30ea SELL Yes $0.30 Jul 23
  • 0x4bf4…7021 SELL No $300.49 Jul 23
  • 0x99fe…5705 SELL No $1.26 Jul 23
  • 0x5533…51ba SELL Yes $1.61 Jul 23
  • 0xa3af…b7a6 SELL No $4.96 Jul 23
  • 0x99fe…5705 SELL No $0.95 Jul 23
  • 0x1927…c627 SELL Yes $1.20 Jul 23
  • 0x99fe…5705 SELL No $0.20 Jul 23
  • 0xd3e5…17ee SELL Yes $0.95 Jul 23
  • 0xc5a0…8189 SELL Yes $7.00 Jul 23

This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement. The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection. The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

RigatoniROI Jul 14

Perps code: 00aaoaac

conotocaurius Jul 14

The underlying value of Dec 31st is 2c; the underlying value of the other dates is 0c.

NoSteinNoGate Jul 14

People on poly significantly overprice very unlikely events

variant1.meta Jul 15

For this market the title is misleading a bit. In fact you can call it "will anyone pay the US anything for Hormuz security by Dec 31". Does not sound like 2c.

conotocaurius Jul 15

no, it really does sound like 2c. The US will never be allowed by Iran to offer protection money in Hormuz. Potentially in other waters like Panama or Malacca, where there is not an incumbent great power on the littoral.

deadinternettheory Jul 14

Permanent peace btw