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US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Iran Vol. $1,401,579 50 traders

July 3113%
July 240%
August 1537%
August 3156%
$1,401,579 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

9
Chance
July 24 Resolved
0% ▼ 2
July 31
13% ▼ 6
August 15
37% ▼ 7
August 31
56% ▲ 1
July 14 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
December 31
85%
September 30
68%
October 31
78%
August 7
24%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x7e62…bcdc BUY Yes $1.10 39s ago
  • 0xb246…93cb BUY Yes $1.85 6m ago
  • 0x5d2e…2581 SELL No $25.80 9m ago
  • 0x94fe…06c9 BUY No $2.00 28m ago
  • 0x1ccf…99ec SELL No $5.44 28m ago
  • 0x13a6…c34d BUY No $3.25 37m ago
  • 0x2c31…a9bf BUY Yes $5.00 41m ago
  • 0x4a26…c6c7 SELL No $2.02 41m ago
  • 0x4a26…c6c7 BUY No $1.05 42m ago
  • 0xe0c0…9a74 SELL Yes $1.99 48m ago
  • 0xe0c0…9a74 SELL Yes $1.99 49m ago
  • 0x9453…1a48 BUY No $199.47 53m ago
  • 0x8fdf…af9e BUY No $4.89 57m ago
  • 0x57ec…885b BUY No $1.00 58m ago
  • 0xd098…c290 BUY No $24.74 58m ago
  • 0x5449…992b BUY No $1.50 58m ago
  • 0x61af…c770 BUY No $26.01 58m ago
  • 0x6206…cf4c BUY No $3.00 58m ago
  • 0xf5b0…38c4 BUY No $1.04 58m ago
  • 0xa057…f288 BUY No $2.74 58m ago
  • 0xc84f…e0c5 BUY Yes $482.91 58m ago
  • 0x122c…fbed BUY Yes $14.40 58m ago
  • 0x73e9…57f2 BUY Yes $2.85 1h ago
  • 0x73e9…57f2 BUY Yes $2.84 1h ago
  • 0x2884…d0c3 BUY Yes $5.70 1h ago
  • 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $2.88 1h ago
  • 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $7.20 1h ago
  • 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $7.20 1h ago
  • 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $1.80 1h ago
  • 0x9453…1a48 BUY No $2000.00 1h ago
  • 0x57ec…885b BUY No $1.00 1h ago
  • 0x7aae…7efc BUY No $2.40 1h ago
  • 0xd098…c290 BUY No $6.12 1h ago
  • 0x6206…cf4c BUY No $3.00 1h ago
  • 0x61af…c770 BUY No $6.42 1h ago
  • 0x5449…992b BUY No $1.50 1h ago
  • 0xe2cd…3897 BUY No $3.25 1h ago
  • 0x122c…fbed BUY Yes $381.10 1h ago
  • 0xc84f…e0c5 BUY Yes $680.84 1h ago
  • 0x122c…fbed BUY Yes $110.42 1h ago

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees). An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of the blockade. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to the blockade, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the end of a blockade by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending the blockade is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to the blockade; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; and Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to the blockade rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the blockade actually ends in practice. Resolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.

Comments

InsderEpstien Jul 25

he is tacoing

adasol Jul 23

US State Department tells citizens in Middle East to prepare for potential flight cancellations due to Iran war The US State Department has issued an advisory urging US citizens in West Asia to be prepared for emergency travel situations due to potential flight cancellations and disruptions to air travel as a result of the Iran war.

adasol Jul 22

Trump says US ‘not finished at all’ as Iran attacks continue US President Donald Trump has met with Lebanese leader Joseph Aoun in Washington, DC. It was the first time a Lebanese head of state has visited the White House since 2009. While Trump hailed his relationship with Aoun, he also had strong words for Tehran.

adasol Jul 20

US begins 10th consecutive night of Iran strikes, CENTCOM says US forces began a new round of strikes against Iran at 4 p.m. ET on Monday at the direction of the commander in chief, CENTCOM said in a post on X.

adasol Jul 20

US to send additional F-16s, F-35s and refueling tankers to Mideast - CNN

clark. Jul 20

Trump's blockade of Iran at sea is a military strategy. A 10-day ceasefire with Iran, if agreed to by Trump, would actually result in Iran being under blockade during the ceasefire period. As for both a ceasefire and the lifting of the blockade, in my view, the US government will not accept such a losing proposition. If these negotiations go smoothly, the lifting of the maritime blockade may be scheduled for the next round of negotiations.

SIMOMEGA Jul 19

why is spread so high for august 15

ArieLethal Jul 18

Go to the market. Will Israel close the sky until. It's worth buying. Yes, you can make a profit.

abdoohl Jul 18

You wouldnt lie to us in order to make a profit, would you Arie?

SIMOMEGA Jul 18

uhm, wrong punctuation

Eric.Kevin Jul 17

whowho

Richdale Jul 16

are we back discussing this crap again ...whose knows what that clown will do

Heikeel1 Jul 15

perps code 01fwn6jq

RigatoniROI Jul 15

Perps code: 00aaoaac

abdoohl Jul 14

And why so long rules, why not just copy paste rules from original market? It wasnt never any problems with those rules, why reinvent the wheel??

abdoohl Jul 14

Why its US why its not Trump? Why its not Trump announce like last time, and why its ugly thumbnail, why not have same thumbnail as original market??

0xqx Jul 13

when schizophrenia talks, you listen

yungsoleimani Jul 13

you just a little kid man

yungsoleimani Jul 13

sorry i dont make the rules i just collect the money

yungsoleimani Jul 13

all the money will be cejqq’s