Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
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25- 0x47e7…2ff5 SELL Yes $1.30 1h ago
- 0x47e7…2ff5 BUY Yes $1.36 1h ago
- 0x2721…cf8a BUY Yes $1.19 3h ago
- 0x2721…cf8a SELL Yes $1.33 3h ago
- 0x7770…518d BUY No $14.29 3h ago
- 0xc754…bb99 BUY No $1.17 4h ago
- 0x0b34…ffc3 SELL Yes $2.83 4h ago
- 0xc550…272d BUY No $624.98 4h ago
- 0xf3f1…c917 SELL No $23.33 6h ago
- 0xd100…5d09 SELL Yes $1.10 9h ago
- 0x6322…80d6 BUY No $100.00 12h ago
- 0x9e59…a4ba SELL Yes $5.09 14h ago
- 0x4542…2637 SELL No $19.74 14h ago
- 0x6bbc…9e4d BUY No $5.00 16h ago
- 0x40c5…5cba BUY Yes $11.51 17h ago
- 0x3dbf…4b94 BUY No $5.00 17h ago
- 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $44.00 17h ago
- 0x0e7b…eba3 BUY No $643.36 17h ago
- 0x0aad…3aa6 SELL Yes $0.79 18h ago
- 0x2647…2e2a SELL Yes $12.88 18h ago
- 0x0268…c461 BUY No $10.20 19h ago
- 0x232a…4895 SELL Yes $1.72 Jul 27
- 0x4247…91c4 SELL Yes $128.56 Jul 26
- 0x41cb…a5df SELL Yes $0.17 Jul 26
- 0x1b60…a55b BUY No $345.80 Jul 26
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not. Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify. The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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