Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
Outcomes
3Recent trades
40- 0xf9ce…2e6b BUY No $1.00 8h ago
- 0x8931…a90c BUY No $352.75 19h ago
- 0x4542…2637 SELL No $5.21 Jul 26
- 0x5da5…e620 BUY Yes $20.00 Jul 26
- 0xad42…5d73 SELL No $9.83 Jul 24
- 0x0314…2f6d SELL Yes $1.76 Jul 23
- 0x0314…2f6d SELL Yes $0.48 Jul 23
- 0x60ff…1325 SELL No $3.05 Jul 22
- 0xc623…3ba8 BUY No $53.64 Jul 21
- 0x471f…97e5 BUY No $1.00 Jul 21
- 0x3de2…d073 SELL Yes $0.28 Jul 21
- 0x3de2…d073 SELL Yes $1.87 Jul 21
- 0xc623…3ba8 BUY No $6.61 Jul 21
- 0xccee…6dcf BUY No $1.00 Jul 21
- 0x3454…e9ee SELL Yes $1.77 Jul 20
- 0x84c9…8711 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 20
- 0x64ce…3c70 SELL No $4.71 Jul 19
- 0x64ce…3c70 SELL Yes $0.20 Jul 19
- 0x9af0…5816 SELL No $273.12 Jul 18
- 0x0314…2f6d SELL Yes $1.81 Jul 18
- 0xdec8…4eec SELL No $0.99 Jul 18
- 0x9539…da53 SELL No $0.99 Jul 18
- 0x5131…ab2f SELL No $0.99 Jul 18
- 0x14e9…80c0 SELL No $0.99 Jul 18
- 0xdcca…5d53 SELL No $0.99 Jul 18
- 0x7674…eb4a SELL No $2.03 Jun 30
- 0xd256…dbad SELL No $5.16 Jun 30
- 0xc26e…d1b8 SELL No $3.19 Jun 30
- 0x6061…ec4b SELL No $2.26 Jun 29
- 0xbd0d…1fb4 SELL No $20.18 Jun 29
- 0xa996…34b5 SELL No $0.12 Jun 29
- 0x8733…54f7 SELL No $1.06 Jun 29
- 0x72bb…ef39 SELL No $2.60 Jun 28
- 0xa996…34b5 SELL No $1.32 Jun 28
- 0xa996…34b5 SELL No $1.89 Jun 28
- 0xff4e…5502 SELL Yes $0.01 Jun 28
- 0x0515…a166 SELL Yes $0.13 Jun 28
- 0xa996…34b5 BUY No $2.35 Jun 28
- 0xa996…34b5 SELL No $3.69 Jun 28
- 0xa996…34b5 BUY No $2.35 Jun 28
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995, “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia, which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement, is an example of a qualifying agreement. An official unilateral pledge by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if not part of an agreement with Russia. The April 19, 2013, Brussels Agreement between Serbia and Kosovo, in which Serbia recognized Kosovo’s de facto administration but did not formally grant de jure recognition, would not be considered a qualifying agreement under this market, as this market requires formal recognition of sovereignty rather than acknowledgment of administrative control. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Comments
They havent recognized anything in 2022-2025 they certainly wont in 2026 with better funding and munitions than ever
*PUTIN: I THINK THE UKRAINE CONFLICT IS COMING TO AN END Any end to the war will include new land claims based (in part) on battlefield front lines. 12c for this market compared to 40c for peace deal before 2027 makes this an easy choice. *PUTIN: I HOPE THE IRAN CONFLICT WILL END AS SOON AS POSSIBLE
I think there’s a cleaner path here that avoids all the messy constitutional and institutional hurdles of formally “ceding” territory. Imagine a deal where Ukraine **formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea**, but frames it as part of a **time-bound or conditional arrangement** (e.g. 50–100 years, linked to a broader settlement or future review). You’re not rewriting the entire Ukrainian constitution around territorial loss in a permanent sense — you’re structuring it as a **legal recognition within a negotiated framework**. From this market’s perspective, that should still resolve **Yes**. The rules don’t require permanence, they require **formal recognition**. So even if it’s embedded in a transitional or conditional agreement, once Ukraine makes that legal acknowledgment, the condition is met. In other words, the market is about **de jure recognition**, not about how politically or constitutionally “final” the arrangement feels in practice.
The land's ownership is unknown, but the glory has always belonged to Ukraine.
BROKE-ASS UKRONAZI FILTH, hahahaha, go die for your beliefs like Adolf, COWARDLY LITTLE NAZI!
Zelenskyy: We have neither legal nor moral right to cede territory
Only North Korea has recognised the newly occupied territories as Russia and only 13 countries recognise Russian soverieignty over Crimea.
Crimea is Russia
saw the flow shift 2 days before odds moved, alerts dont miss
Russia will lose this war this winter but Putin can not sign a peace deal without making some gains for his supporters. Therefor a symbolic area of land offered to Putin will make peace more likely. Undervalued.
So, how did it go? Did Russia lose, and the clown? Is it spring already? RUSSIA WILL NEVER lose to anyone; it's simply impossible.
that is the silliest thing I've read in quite a long time. You glorification of the "paper bear" nazi russia is naive at best
Ukraine's hypothetical recognition of Russian sovereignty over its regions by late 2026 would shatter NATO's eastern bulwark and ignite a cascade of separatist demands from the Baltics to the Black Sea.
Sounds good to me: democracy and all those Western values, unlike the current oppression of minorities.
Ukraine rejects Russian sovereignty claims over its territory amid ongoing war.
People betting YES on this are delusional pro-russians.
or people hedging against what they consider bad news
Shhh....don't spook them
XOXOL=PIDARAS
ah, so you're just a russian nazi bitch, now it all makes sense
Ukraine is Finished
Zelensky gonna capitulate all this territories
you make me laugh :)
this will prob not resolve or or will resolve into no, look at kosovo,
Would that also include recognizing Crimea as Russian territory?
room temp. iq
Yes, since Crimea is still considered ukrainian territory by the UN.
zelensky will deny, trump weaponizes denial, zelensky gtfo (elections/revolution), peace
wow, such an expert here XD
Zelensky [link removed] - “Ukrainians did not give up Kyiv, Odesa, or Kharkiv after 2022.” Look at what is absent
"Ukraine won’t give up territory Russia hasn’t captured, Zelenskyy says", in other words, Ukraine will give up territory Russia has captured. [link removed]
All that’s left is to recognize it!
Market notification tracker and AI Profile Analyzer TG @PolymarketWalletBot
bid daddy Trump or smal d*ck eurpoors ?
[link removed]
Trump is an impotent pedo clown, his dick is only big enough to rape little kids
i didnt hear no bell
Then why’d you dump?
Puntin won’t accept anything that is not formalised at this point. He’s never been in such a dominant position (I mean, Ukraine would have to rely on the EU only)
Does it really fucking matter? Pm will just: [link removed]
There's more chance that Ukraine will cease to exist than that it will recognize russian sovereignty over Ukrainian territory. You don't understand how much this is important for Ukrainians.
You’re right that those are their two options
strong strong
strong strong my friend
strong strong
"We will never recognize the occupation of Crimea." - Minister of Economy of Ukraine [link removed]
No Ukrainian wants this.
even if no this will move up to around 40% before the end of the year
There should be a tip jar on each market where the users can contribute to it. Then when it gets to a certain point, it buys an advertising space on a banner on the home page - in order to give it more exposure and increase the volume… These small markets get lost
interested in buying more?
liquidity is really low here
Bring your liquidity up to mine and I’ll raise it
We both will have enough money to provide liquidity after Apr 20 hopefully
“Kursk won’t fall”
“Ukraine doesn’t want to give up territory” Yea that’s what the war’s about.
[link removed] quick buy more yes
Shhhhhh
UKRAINIAN GOVERNMENT OFFICIAL SAYS KYIV WILL NOT RECOGNISE RUSSIAN RIGHTS OVER UKRAINIAN TERRITORY
They won’t until the will. If there’s a settlement, it will include giving up land. There will be no frozen line of contact like 2014
We did it! 500k!