Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Recent trades
25- 0x5235…c04a BUY No $296.00 4m ago
- 0x5235…c04a BUY No $301.18 4m ago
- 0x45a8…5aed BUY No $2.96 5m ago
- 0x5235…c04a BUY No $370.00 5m ago
- 0x7655…5661 SELL Yes $784.35 22m ago
- 0xb51b…b4d9 BUY Yes $100.00 49m ago
- 0x45a8…5aed BUY No $5.13 2h ago
- 0x3f3b…1d77 BUY No $568.48 2h ago
- 0x5235…c04a BUY No $1110.00 2h ago
- 0x82fb…0b6e BUY Yes $30.00 2h ago
- 0x3f3b…1d77 BUY No $911.52 3h ago
- 0x2c6f…deee BUY No $22.20 3h ago
- 0x8437…7341 SELL Yes $2.60 4h ago
- 0xa33b…17d4 BUY Yes $8.37 4h ago
- 0xa33b…17d4 SELL No $7.63 4h ago
- 0x279c…2b82 BUY No $89.72 5h ago
- 0x3f3b…1d77 BUY No $220.52 5h ago
- 0xfbd2…61f1 BUY No $1.54 6h ago
- 0xfd8a…f8e2 BUY No $1.54 6h ago
- 0x300c…6a92 BUY No $222.00 6h ago
- 0x7f7e…45d6 SELL No $16.32 6h ago
- 0x819f…f3e7 BUY No $22.53 7h ago
- 0x819f…f3e7 BUY No $5.25 7h ago
- 0x9def…d1a5 SELL Yes $122.20 7h ago
- 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $65.61 8h ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for September 30, 2026, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
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