Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent trades
25- 0x2a83…aff7 SELL No $4.98 53s ago
- 0x70ed…73f6 SELL No $762.64 6m ago
- 0x29e9…ee9f SELL No $7.97 11m ago
- 0x53c7…85e0 SELL No $150.40 11m ago
- 0x819d…d7ff SELL No $167.33 11m ago
- 0x50b5…5f21 SELL No $165.34 11m ago
- 0x004b…ffd6 SELL No $154.38 11m ago
- 0x1903…235a SELL No $168.32 11m ago
- 0x5681…cabb SELL No $154.38 11m ago
- 0x8896…930f SELL No $152.39 11m ago
- 0x5438…b8c4 SELL No $162.35 11m ago
- 0x94ee…5cc8 SELL No $161.35 11m ago
- 0x53c7…85e0 BUY No $150.55 14m ago
- 0x819d…d7ff BUY No $167.50 14m ago
- 0x004b…ffd6 BUY No $154.53 14m ago
- 0x50b5…5f21 BUY No $165.50 14m ago
- 0x1903…235a BUY No $168.49 14m ago
- 0x94ee…5cc8 BUY No $161.51 15m ago
- 0x5681…cabb BUY No $154.53 15m ago
- 0x8896…930f BUY No $152.54 15m ago
- 0x5438…b8c4 BUY No $162.51 15m ago
- 0x29e9…ee9f BUY No $7.98 18m ago
- 0x2a83…aff7 BUY No $4.99 22m ago
- 0xce7c…9cc0 BUY Yes $1.00 25m ago
- 0xda98…89cb BUY Yes $15.00 30m ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
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