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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

Oil Vol. $3,383,772 67 traders

August 3113%
August 154%
$3,383,772 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

2
Chance
August 31
13% ▼ 2
August 15
4%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x8bab…9555 SELL Yes $32.73 18m ago
  • 0xc84f…e0c5 BUY Yes $79.67 36m ago
  • 0xb51b…b4d9 BUY Yes $100.00 41m ago
  • 0xf837…4d75 BUY Yes $7.00 41m ago
  • 0xa53f…a163 BUY No $157.59 43m ago
  • 0x5e51…ccaa BUY Yes $1.00 46m ago
  • 0x5e51…ccaa BUY Yes $1.00 46m ago
  • 0xe0c0…9a74 SELL Yes $0.72 1h ago
  • 0xe0c0…9a74 SELL Yes $0.72 1h ago
  • 0xe118…c5a4 BUY Yes $5.00 1h ago
  • 0xc84f…e0c5 BUY Yes $866.58 1h ago
  • 0xc84f…e0c5 BUY Yes $1444.43 1h ago
  • 0x5ccf…79d7 BUY Yes $1300.00 1h ago
  • 0x2662…f6af BUY No $1.00 1h ago
  • 0x47e7…2ff5 SELL Yes $1.14 1h ago
  • 0xe3d1…d312 BUY Yes $11.60 2h ago
  • 0xe3d1…d312 SELL Yes $123.21 2h ago
  • 0x3908…d10e SELL No $2.64 2h ago
  • 0x47e7…2ff5 BUY Yes $1.24 2h ago
  • 0x49b6…4184 SELL No $0.99 3h ago
  • 0xd12b…0c69 SELL No $0.99 3h ago
  • 0xe1d1…1470 SELL No $0.99 3h ago
  • 0x0f82…a1a8 SELL No $0.99 3h ago
  • 0x51f6…c482 SELL No $0.99 3h ago
  • 0x350d…6d5b SELL No $0.99 3h ago
  • 0x3357…4024 SELL No $0.99 3h ago
  • 0xf757…352e SELL No $0.99 3h ago
  • 0xc624…dfdd SELL No $0.99 3h ago
  • 0x1bf7…6f57 SELL No $10.44 3h ago
  • 0x49b6…4184 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xd12b…0c69 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xe1d1…1470 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x51f6…c482 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x0f82…a1a8 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x350d…6d5b BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x3357…4024 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xf757…352e BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xc624…dfdd BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x7841…ab8c BUY No $2.00 3h ago
  • 0x1bf7…6f57 BUY No $9.68 3h ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for August 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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