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Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

AI Vol. $12,880 50 traders

Moonshot51%
Alibaba41%
Z.ai6%
Baidu1%
$12,880 Vol. AI

Outcomes

25
Chance
Alibaba
41% ▲ 2
Moonshot
51% ▼ 1
Baidu
2% ▲ 2
Z.ai
6% ▼ 1
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
5% ▼ 1
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
2%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Other
50%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company J
50%
Company K
50%
Company L
50%
Company M
50%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $12.40 12h ago
  • 0x1648…a676 BUY Yes $10.20 12h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.92 12h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $18.86 12h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.94 12h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.20 12h ago
  • 0x564f…7026 BUY Yes $1.03 21h ago
  • 0xa815…9cbe BUY Yes $3.67 22h ago
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $0.99 Jul 26
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $3.05 Jul 26
  • 0xba0f…1011 SELL No $26.95 Jul 26
  • 0x5edc…bbad BUY No $6.71 Jul 26
  • 0x5edc…bbad BUY No $13.15 Jul 26
  • 0x5edc…bbad BUY No $37.41 Jul 26
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $145.64 Jul 26
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL No $24.00 Jul 25
  • 0x191e…ef6b BUY Yes $10.40 Jul 25
  • 0x1648…a676 BUY Yes $14.81 Jul 25
  • 0xe347…b438 SELL Yes $3.15 Jul 25
  • 0xe347…b438 SELL Yes $3.85 Jul 25
  • 0x1648…a676 BUY Yes $3.77 Jul 25
  • 0x1648…a676 BUY Yes $28.57 Jul 25
  • 0x1648…a676 BUY Yes $7.35 Jul 25
  • 0x85b5…3c42 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 25
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $10.50 Jul 25
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL No $26.00 Jul 25
  • 0x3c18…32c3 SELL No $25.30 Jul 25
  • 0x564f…7026 BUY Yes $72.40 Jul 25
  • 0xfbd8…4027 SELL Yes $0.02 Jul 25
  • 0xfbd8…4027 SELL Yes $0.03 Jul 25
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f SELL Yes $0.03 Jul 25
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $11.20 Jul 25
  • 0x4629…f3b1 SELL No $10.00 Jul 25
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $5.10 Jul 24
  • 0xb545…9d97 SELL Yes $0.03 Jul 24
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $6.79 Jul 24
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f SELL Yes $0.02 Jul 24
  • 0x652b…f5c2 BUY Yes $0.11 Jul 24
  • 0xe347…b438 SELL Yes $0.25 Jul 24
  • 0xe347…b438 SELL Yes $0.22 Jul 24

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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