Sign Up
← Markets

Precipitation in London in July?

Science Vol. $12,264 50 traders

<30mm99%
40-50mm0%
70-80mm1%
30-40mm1%
$12,264 Vol. Science

Outcomes

7
Chance
<30mm
99% ▲ 1
30-40mm
<1%
40-50mm
<1%
50-60mm
<1%
60-70mm
<1%
70-80mm
<1%
80mm+
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x6b09…ce3c SELL Yes $5.75 48m ago
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $148.95 5h ago
  • 0xa5c2…5b5f SELL No $0.35 7h ago
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $11.73 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $39.56 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $39.56 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $39.56 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $39.56 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $39.56 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $39.56 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $95.93 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $39.51 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $39.51 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $39.51 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $9.90 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $39.56 Jul 27
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $79.84 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $79.12 Jul 27
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $79.83 Jul 27
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $79.75 Jul 27
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $79.92 Jul 27
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $79.81 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $39.51 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $128.57 Jul 27
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $89.73 Jul 27
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $89.64 Jul 27
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $89.82 Jul 27
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $89.91 Jul 27
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $89.73 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $39.32 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $120.01 Jul 27
  • 0x562b…dc09 BUY Yes $39.32 Jul 27
  • 0x153b…1cb0 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0x3b5c…2541 BUY No $4.95 Jul 26
  • 0x3b5c…2541 BUY No $4.95 Jul 26
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $0.94 Jul 26
  • 0xc4a0…b64c BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 26
  • 0xc4a0…b64c BUY No $1.00 Jul 26
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $1.15 Jul 26
  • 0xd1a6…1507 SELL Yes $0.00 Jul 26

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in July, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for July 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of July 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Comments