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People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

China Vol. $23,252 50 traders

Decrease37%
No Change64%
Increase0%
$23,252 Vol. China

Outcomes

3
Chance
Increase
<1%
No Change
64% ▲ 2
Decrease
37% ▲ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL No $31.00 11h ago
  • 0x6084…6209 SELL No $32.64 12h ago
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $3.10 12h ago
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL No $31.00 12h ago
  • 0x51de…9e4a BUY Yes $122.15 12h ago
  • 0x93d9…ad95 SELL Yes $16.00 14h ago
  • 0x1bcc…160a SELL Yes $16.50 15h ago
  • 0x33dc…bb81 SELL Yes $3.94 19h ago
  • 0x3b30…100f BUY No $23.02 22h ago
  • 0xa58d…b9b8 SELL Yes $7.48 Jul 27
  • 0xcc47…1f7d BUY Yes $4.00 Jul 27
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL Yes $2.90 Jul 26
  • 0xb785…b8ec SELL Yes $2.90 Jul 26
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $29.97 Jul 26
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $1.13 Jul 26
  • 0x6b8a…f6a4 SELL No $26.60 Jul 26
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $18.00 Jul 26
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $18.00 Jul 26
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $6.00 Jul 26
  • 0x6b8a…f6a4 SELL Yes $40.00 Jul 26
  • 0xbc0e…3c0f SELL Yes $20.00 Jul 26
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $29.97 Jul 26
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL No $22.28 Jul 26
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $17.18 Jul 26
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $18.00 Jul 26
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $5.00 Jul 26
  • 0x7a5c…767b SELL No $19.00 Jul 26
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $3.00 Jul 26
  • 0x3c3e…5a86 SELL No $19.00 Jul 26
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $1.90 Jul 26
  • 0x6b8a…f6a4 SELL No $12.20 Jul 26
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $20.50 Jul 26
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $20.50 Jul 26
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $20.50 Jul 26
  • 0x51de…9e4a SELL No $134.14 Jul 26
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL Yes $12.66 Jul 26
  • 0xf0e0…016a SELL Yes $40.00 Jul 26
  • 0x74aa…2c3f SELL Yes $40.00 Jul 26
  • 0x0f99…6734 SELL Yes $80.00 Jul 26
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $20.00 Jul 26

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.

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