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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Politics Vol. $75,444 50 traders

Jordan Bardella13%
Marine Le Pen87%
François Ruffin2%
François Hollande11%
$75,444 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

37
Chance
Marine Le Pen
87% ▼ 1
Jordan Bardella
13% ▲ 1
Éric Zemmour
4%
Édouard Philippe
40% ▼ 2
David Lisnard
3%
Xavier Bertrand
1%
Laurent Wauquiez
3% ▼ 1
François Ruffin
2%
Gabriel Attal
13% ▲ 1
Bruno Retailleau
3%
François Hollande
11% ▼ 1
Raphaël Glucksmann
6% ▼ 1
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
38% ▼ 1
Marine Tondelier
<1%
Fabien Roussel
4% ▲ 2
Olivier Faure
3% ▲ 1
Dominique de Villepin
5% ▲ 1
Ségolène Royal
1%
François Asselineau
2%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
2%
Michel Barnier
2%
Valérie Pécresse
<1%
François Bayrou
3%
Élisabeth Borne
2%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
3%
Jean Castex
<1%
Gérald Darmanin
1%
Carole Delga
1%
Bernard Cazeneuve
4%
Manuel Bompard
2%
Mathilde Panot
4%
Other
33% ▲ 1
Sarah Knafo
2% ▼ 1
Juan Branco
2% ▲ 1
Clémence Guetté
<1%
Sébastien Lecornu
3%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY Yes $2.00 8h ago
  • 0xb908…6175 BUY No $20.00 13h ago
  • 0xaf68…e9a7 BUY No $1.30 15h ago
  • 0xdab0…2b4d BUY Yes $1.00 17h ago
  • 0x983f…fd5e BUY No $19.50 18h ago
  • 0x9d06…c4e8 BUY No $5.96 Jul 26
  • 0x1f0a…f7aa BUY No $118.68 Jul 26
  • 0x9cdd…df3e SELL No $4.08 Jul 26
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL Yes $15.65 Jul 26
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $15.60 Jul 26
  • 0x7a5c…767b SELL Yes $15.60 Jul 26
  • 0x73a9…252d BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 26
  • 0xad81…f57f BUY No $100.00 Jul 26
  • 0xf768…8c02 BUY No $2.00 Jul 26
  • 0xd43f…c66b SELL No $2.35 Jul 26
  • 0x75b9…20d1 BUY No $20.00 Jul 25
  • 0x5a0d…c6be SELL No $6.00 Jul 24
  • 0x764a…83d3 SELL No $48.55 Jul 24
  • 0xe1a9…339e BUY No $0.55 Jul 23
  • 0xd8ba…2a38 BUY No $118.00 Jul 23
  • 0xf7ec…e53a SELL No $2.40 Jul 22
  • 0x3de8…2447 BUY Yes $900.00 Jul 22
  • 0xfea9…7a25 SELL No $2.35 Jul 22
  • 0x8494…814a SELL Yes $1.25 Jul 22
  • 0xaf68…e9a7 BUY No $16.00 Jul 21
  • 0x6491…74b2 BUY Yes $40.00 Jul 21
  • 0x4cb5…b536 BUY Yes $576.24 Jul 20
  • 0x279d…9266 BUY No $1.01 Jul 20
  • 0x2aac…dfad BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 20
  • 0x2d92…a213 SELL Yes $0.98 Jul 20
  • 0xbd2c…31f4 SELL Yes $13.83 Jul 20
  • 0x5923…49cd BUY No $5.08 Jul 20
  • 0x2d92…a213 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 20
  • 0xae58…e5c5 BUY No $4.90 Jul 20
  • 0x1241…d325 BUY No $1.00 Jul 20
  • 0x9cdd…df3e BUY No $4.01 Jul 20
  • 0x0e19…3f79 BUY No $1.09 Jul 20
  • 0x2251…25a0 SELL No $116.45 Jul 20
  • 0xdec3…9f41 BUY Yes $410.02 Jul 20
  • 0xdec3…9f41 BUY Yes $41.00 Jul 20

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Comments

Poivre Jun 2

ça arrive très tôt dis donc

DontTrustMe Jun 2

The guy behind this list of candidates must have a serious crush on Clémence Guetté. 🤨

SwitchMario2019 Jun 2

🤣

SwitchMario2019 Jun 2

Very interesting market! 👀