Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?
Outcomes
6Recent trades
40- 0x63bd…aff2 SELL Yes $0.50 1m ago
- 0x63bd…aff2 SELL No $0.01 2m ago
- 0x66a1…80d9 SELL Yes $279.30 16m ago
- 0x3b69…01d7 SELL Yes $46.50 1h ago
- 0xb5cd…6055 SELL Yes $251.02 1h ago
- 0xa39f…fbdb SELL No $0.01 1h ago
- 0x4b9b…7a9f SELL No $0.05 1h ago
- 0xee67…67a6 SELL No $1.00 1h ago
- 0x0fe5…91aa SELL Yes $19.21 2h ago
- 0x458c…c504 SELL No $29.40 2h ago
- 0x28ce…1c02 BUY No $1.00 2h ago
- 0x3b69…01d7 SELL Yes $15.47 2h ago
- 0x28ce…1c02 BUY Yes $1.00 2h ago
- 0x28ce…1c02 BUY No $2.00 2h ago
- 0x0b20…8e59 SELL Yes $48.41 3h ago
- 0x3b69…01d7 SELL No $49.12 3h ago
- 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $49.15 3h ago
- 0x4265…3741 BUY Yes $5.76 3h ago
- 0x880b…90a8 BUY No $2.30 3h ago
- 0xc326…1db1 BUY Yes $14.85 3h ago
- 0x880b…90a8 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
- 0xe0dc…3944 BUY Yes $229.08 3h ago
- 0xac6d…0fcb SELL Yes $76.48 4h ago
- 0xe0dc…3944 BUY Yes $14.96 4h ago
- 0xe0dc…3944 BUY Yes $174.82 4h ago
- 0xe0dc…3944 BUY Yes $89.12 4h ago
- 0x2d0a…a3b9 BUY Yes $1.00 4h ago
- 0x2d95…74ff SELL Yes $34.50 4h ago
- 0x2d95…74ff SELL Yes $0.50 4h ago
- 0x4b9b…7a9f SELL No $0.01 5h ago
- 0xee67…67a6 SELL No $0.13 5h ago
- 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY No $4.16 5h ago
- 0x4bc4…5221 BUY No $1.25 5h ago
- 0x9a60…be51 BUY Yes $757.33 6h ago
- 0x9a60…be51 BUY Yes $98.00 6h ago
- 0x4c7c…ba26 SELL No $21.89 7h ago
- 0x4bc8…86e7 BUY No $8.00 7h ago
- 0x7b12…865b SELL Yes $0.93 7h ago
- 0xc0de…d421 BUY No $8.00 7h ago
- 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY No $30.00 7h ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Claude Opus model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any Claude model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Opus" may qualify (e.g., claude-Opus-4.9, claude-Opus-5.0-thinking, claude-Opus-5.1-preview, or similar). Claude models labeled only as Sonnet, Haiku, or another non-Opus variant will not qualify. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model’s first appearance will not be considered. A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Comments
You can see on archiveOrg that claude-opus-5-high was published on: Jul 26, 2026, as per its own text on the header. claude-opus-5-max was added on: July 27, 2026
Both were published on July 27 2026. You can see the price graph for 1490+ jumping to >90c in 00:30 AM (July 27)
i hate fastclickers, they're time to bleed will come
resolve peeps