← Markets

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Iran Vol. $117,103 50 traders

July 315%
July 210%
July 140%
$117,103 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

3
Chance
July 14 Resolved
0%
July 21 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
July 31
5% ▲ 2

Recent trades

40
  • 0xea20…571a BUY Yes $1.40 3h ago
  • 0xb8c7…d5e4 BUY No $10.00 3h ago
  • 0x7188…f1b7 BUY No $15.00 3h ago
  • 0x3ec5…c370 BUY No $20.00 4h ago
  • 0x419f…e853 SELL No $1.96 11h ago
  • 0xf184…d472 BUY No $8.39 11h ago
  • 0xe54b…aa14 BUY No $292.30 11h ago
  • 0x53bb…9c5c BUY No $7.09 11h ago
  • 0x0706…9edb BUY No $2.29 11h ago
  • 0x3105…43e3 BUY No $1.52 11h ago
  • 0xc082…44c1 BUY No $5.39 11h ago
  • 0xb07f…c33b BUY No $3.48 11h ago
  • 0x2405…7aee BUY No $4.41 12h ago
  • 0x8746…4d8b BUY No $3.00 12h ago
  • 0x87f2…3efe BUY No $5.92 12h ago
  • 0x129d…3f33 BUY No $4.11 12h ago
  • 0x336b…ef65 BUY No $2.54 12h ago
  • 0x8fb4…0506 BUY No $5.72 12h ago
  • 0xf722…3f41 BUY No $1.69 12h ago
  • 0x9995…58b2 BUY No $3.43 12h ago
  • 0xc9d5…d1bb SELL Yes $7.67 12h ago
  • 0x34e2…9560 BUY No $5.93 12h ago
  • 0xc039…a2ba BUY No $2.80 12h ago
  • 0xa764…dc44 BUY No $2.82 12h ago
  • 0x9f88…bcb4 BUY No $1.73 12h ago
  • 0xeab7…b389 SELL Yes $0.01 Jul 26
  • 0x3329…43a6 SELL Yes $0.10 Jul 26
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $4.95 Jul 26
  • 0x836f…906e BUY No $88.62 Jul 26
  • 0x613b…da44 SELL Yes $0.10 Jul 25
  • 0x95d5…08bc BUY No $5.30 Jul 25
  • 0x95d5…08bc BUY No $10.90 Jul 25
  • 0x95d5…08bc BUY No $11.01 Jul 25
  • 0x95d5…08bc BUY No $11.12 Jul 25
  • 0x95d5…08bc BUY No $11.24 Jul 25
  • 0x95d5…08bc BUY No $11.35 Jul 25
  • 0x95d5…08bc BUY No $11.52 Jul 25
  • 0x95d5…08bc BUY No $11.58 Jul 25
  • 0x95d5…08bc BUY No $11.70 Jul 25
  • 0x95d5…08bc BUY No $11.88 Jul 25

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. “Yemen” refers to the territory within the internationally recognized borders of Yemen. If the precise location of a strike cannot be clearly attributed to the defined territory, it will not qualify. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Yemen and credible reporting.

Comments

0x4C6A68AD49C44da012c760893267EEcB135997BE-1775679106556 Jul 23

YES

0x452Dc4f7E125545e4e274DB40cFb43F9DD0df886-1768421542855 Jul 23

resolution?

0x4C6A68AD49C44da012c760893267EEcB135997BE-1775679106556 Jul 15

Yes