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How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?

Oil Vol. $10,699 50 traders

100+8%
<257%
75-996%
50-7444%
$10,699 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

5
Chance
<25
7% ▼ 4
25-49
38% ▲ 10
50-74
44% ▲ 6
75-99
6% ▼ 3
100+
8% ▼ 3

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa5c2…5b5f SELL No $43.59 20s ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $16.65 23s ago
  • 0x8797…bbbe BUY Yes $72.59 47s ago
  • 0x8797…bbbe BUY Yes $18.93 56s ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $12.99 56s ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $25.40 56s ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $11.49 56s ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $19.10 56s ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $18.73 56s ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $37.34 56s ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $22.80 58s ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $38.20 58s ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL Yes $0.20 24m ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $0.36 24m ago
  • 0x4629…f3b1 SELL No $4.32 32m ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL Yes $10.19 46m ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $10.47 46m ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $11.20 1h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $20.37 1h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $12.81 1h ago
  • 0xe1a3…24ea BUY Yes $43.00 1h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $20.26 1h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $19.94 1h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $9.70 1h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $18.43 1h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $6.10 1h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $11.59 1h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $14.25 1h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $7.50 1h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $9.68 1h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $18.39 1h ago
  • 0xe1a3…24ea BUY Yes $100.00 1h ago
  • 0x5c0a…a2c3 SELL Yes $10.51 1h ago
  • 0xa5c2…5b5f SELL No $42.00 1h ago
  • 0xe1a3…24ea BUY Yes $88.41 1h ago
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f BUY Yes $1.60 1h ago
  • 0x2a31…f2f0 BUY Yes $1.60 1h ago
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f BUY Yes $9.00 1h ago
  • 0x5c0a…a2c3 SELL Yes $3.63 1h ago
  • 0x2a31…f2f0 BUY Yes $9.00 1h ago

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from July 27, 2026, through August 2, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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