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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

Science Vol. $5,027 50 traders

049%
132%
>50%
33%
$5,027 Vol. Science

Outcomes

7
Chance
0
49% ▲ 3
1
32%
2
14% ▲ 4
3
3% ▼ 10
4
2%
5
2%
>5
<1% ▼ 4

Recent trades

40
  • 0x39b4…fc14 SELL Yes $46.52 50m ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $130.86 50m ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 BUY No $290.23 50m ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 BUY No $15.00 50m ago
  • 0xa32d…60d0 SELL No $0.96 53m ago
  • 0xbe70…f23c SELL No $0.96 53m ago
  • 0x2b30…ac4a SELL No $0.96 53m ago
  • 0x03ca…7d15 SELL No $0.96 53m ago
  • 0xebf5…ceb0 SELL No $0.96 53m ago
  • 0x39b4…fc14 SELL No $4.80 59m ago
  • 0x22fa…8135 BUY Yes $5.00 59m ago
  • 0xebf5…ceb0 BUY No $1.00 1h ago
  • 0xa32d…60d0 BUY No $1.00 1h ago
  • 0xbe70…f23c BUY No $1.00 1h ago
  • 0x03ca…7d15 BUY No $1.00 1h ago
  • 0x2b30…ac4a BUY No $1.00 1h ago
  • 0xbac7…85b4 BUY Yes $20.00 1h ago
  • 0x5f13…f926 BUY Yes $100.00 1h ago
  • 0x3237…5658 SELL No $3.42 1h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $46.77 1h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $3.51 1h ago
  • 0x2108…d3dd SELL Yes $50.00 1h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY No $185.30 1h ago
  • 0x5f13…f926 SELL Yes $4.00 1h ago
  • 0x5f13…f926 BUY Yes $4.00 1h ago
  • 0xf057…ab54 SELL No $26.78 2h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $17.54 2h ago
  • 0x1438…c697 BUY Yes $50.00 2h ago
  • 0x3237…5658 SELL No $2.65 2h ago
  • 0x0f99…6734 SELL No $68.90 2h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $106.00 2h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $129.28 2h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY Yes $200.00 2h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $13.42 7h ago
  • 0xe7a0…69ae BUY Yes $3.05 7h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $20.40 7h ago
  • 0xe7a0…69ae BUY Yes $9.60 7h ago
  • 0xe7a0…69ae BUY Yes $13.80 7h ago
  • 0x71d0…b73a BUY No $27.19 11h ago
  • 0x9269…2900 BUY Yes $10.00 11h ago

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

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