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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

Science Vol. $8,331 50 traders

≤624%
714%
1010%
911%
$8,331 Vol. Science

Outcomes

9
Chance
≤6
24% ▼ 1
7
14%
8
13% ▼ 8
9
11% ▼ 10
10
10% ▼ 6
11
8% ▼ 1
12
6%
13
6% ▼ 3
>13
11% ▼ 2

Recent trades

40
  • 0x2df5…57c8 BUY No $21.04 18m ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 SELL Yes $12.50 29m ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL Yes $21.50 29m ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 BUY Yes $0.89 32m ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 SELL Yes $64.14 33m ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 SELL Yes $52.16 36m ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 SELL Yes $6.97 50m ago
  • 0xc2ac…828b SELL No $4.85 2h ago
  • 0x50b1…988c BUY Yes $15.00 6h ago
  • 0xba0f…1011 SELL Yes $1.28 8h ago
  • 0x394c…b2be BUY No $13.27 8h ago
  • 0xd2e5…bebf SELL No $0.96 10h ago
  • 0x85f3…9687 BUY Yes $5.69 12h ago
  • 0x7581…21f5 BUY No $5.00 12h ago
  • 0x5059…6d95 SELL No $13.40 12h ago
  • 0xd43e…49c3 BUY No $1.08 12h ago
  • 0x7581…21f5 BUY No $13.00 12h ago
  • 0xb637…4c42 BUY No $3.58 12h ago
  • 0xb637…4c42 BUY No $8.74 13h ago
  • 0x5059…6d95 BUY No $15.00 16h ago
  • 0xd43e…49c3 BUY No $1.09 16h ago
  • 0x1631…dfd2 BUY Yes $30.00 16h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 BUY Yes $2.60 21h ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 BUY Yes $13.00 23h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 BUY Yes $4.68 23h ago
  • 0xd43e…49c3 BUY No $1.09 Jul 27
  • 0x3d60…6df2 BUY No $30.00 Jul 27
  • 0x3d60…6df2 BUY Yes $14.40 Jul 27
  • 0x7f15…52f1 BUY No $242.73 Jul 27
  • 0x7f15…52f1 BUY No $445.00 Jul 27
  • 0xca1f…d282 BUY No $15.40 Jul 27
  • 0x7581…21f5 BUY No $6.28 Jul 27
  • 0xd43e…49c3 BUY No $2.26 Jul 27
  • 0x7f15…52f1 BUY Yes $72.00 Jul 27
  • 0xc2ac…828b BUY No $4.75 Jul 27
  • 0x7581…21f5 BUY Yes $2.70 Jul 27
  • 0xd43e…49c3 BUY Yes $1.04 Jul 26
  • 0xcf00…8a6c BUY No $24.30 Jul 26
  • 0xa8f1…fee6 SELL Yes $3.25 Jul 26
  • 0xb637…4c42 BUY Yes $2.40 Jul 26

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

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