Sign Up
← Markets

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

Science Vol. $32,158 50 traders

≤80%
9100%
100%
120%
$32,158 Vol. Science

Outcomes

8
Chance
≤8
<1%
9
>99% ▲ 36
10
<1% ▼ 12
11 Resolved
0% ▼ 17
12 Resolved
0% ▼ 29
13 Resolved
0% ▼ 9
14 Resolved
0% ▼ 3
>14 Resolved
0% ▼ 2

Recent trades

40
  • 0x3329…43a6 SELL No $0.02 7m ago
  • 0xe52f…dcad BUY No $4.96 7m ago
  • 0xdd2c…b0a9 BUY No $4.99 7m ago
  • 0x6868…5198 SELL Yes $1.98 1h ago
  • 0x7b84…a13e BUY No $10.00 1h ago
  • 0xd1cf…de94 SELL No $7.66 6h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $0.01 12h ago
  • 0x8d70…72ee BUY No $281.00 14h ago
  • 0x8d70…72ee BUY Yes $148.00 14h ago
  • 0x7f61…8554 BUY Yes $45.71 14h ago
  • 0xcdf5…e344 SELL Yes $0.03 16h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $0.28 16h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $14.49 16h ago
  • 0x5df7…780d SELL No $0.02 16h ago
  • 0x816b…9ec7 BUY No $49.67 18h ago
  • 0x816b…9ec7 BUY No $80.20 18h ago
  • 0x9797…2532 SELL Yes $0.00 18h ago
  • 0x7b84…a13e BUY Yes $73.72 18h ago
  • 0x7b84…a13e BUY Yes $101.00 18h ago
  • 0x816b…9ec7 BUY No $19.80 18h ago
  • 0x7b84…a13e BUY No $101.00 18h ago
  • 0x7b84…a13e BUY Yes $101.00 18h ago
  • 0xc43d…79a5 BUY No $84.92 19h ago
  • 0xeab7…b389 SELL Yes $0.01 19h ago
  • 0x3329…43a6 SELL Yes $0.10 19h ago
  • 0xacd9…dabc SELL No $1.29 19h ago
  • 0x7f61…8554 BUY No $14.80 22h ago
  • 0xd43e…49c3 BUY No $1.09 22h ago
  • 0x7f61…8554 BUY No $19.77 22h ago
  • 0xd43e…49c3 BUY Yes $1.09 22h ago
  • 0x7f61…8554 BUY Yes $50.00 22h ago
  • 0x94d5…82bf SELL Yes $0.28 23h ago
  • 0x7fa1…9029 SELL No $32.27 23h ago
  • 0xb220…5f71 BUY Yes $17.20 23h ago
  • 0xb220…5f71 BUY No $29.79 23h ago
  • 0xb220…5f71 BUY Yes $9.50 23h ago
  • 0xf920…9dff SELL Yes $6.38 23h ago
  • 0x6964…ef53 BUY Yes $56.12 Jul 27
  • 0x6964…ef53 BUY No $48.76 Jul 27
  • 0x6964…ef53 BUY No $241.76 Jul 27

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Comments