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Fed Decision in July?

Economic Policy Vol. $105,652,225 2113 traders

No change71%
25 bps increase28%
50+ bps increase1%
25 bps decrease0%
$105,652,225 Vol. Economic Policy

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
71% ▼ 9
25 bps increase
28% ▲ 9
50+ bps increase
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x6418…c732 BUY No $13.00 3m ago
  • 0xdc41…dd7e BUY No $26.77 3m ago
  • 0x76db…6987 BUY Yes $7.10 3m ago
  • 0x12dd…cc79 BUY No $14.70 3m ago
  • 0x60dc…9057 BUY Yes $113.76 3m ago
  • 0xdc41…dd7e BUY Yes $1420.00 4m ago
  • 0xdc41…dd7e BUY Yes $21.02 4m ago
  • 0xdc41…dd7e BUY Yes $1398.98 4m ago
  • 0x626b…c016 SELL Yes $0.99 4m ago
  • 0xdc41…dd7e BUY Yes $21.02 4m ago
  • 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $28.57 5m ago
  • 0xf1f4…4ebb BUY Yes $9.78 5m ago
  • 0x76db…6987 BUY Yes $142.00 5m ago
  • 0xdc41…dd7e BUY Yes $113.60 5m ago
  • 0xdc41…dd7e BUY Yes $1306.40 5m ago
  • 0x6ad5…509d BUY Yes $20.72 5m ago
  • 0x76db…6987 BUY Yes $14.20 6m ago
  • 0xe8ec…4b8c BUY Yes $1.00 6m ago
  • 0xca08…c267 BUY Yes $1.78 6m ago
  • 0x655e…e0cc BUY Yes $2.84 6m ago
  • 0x76db…6987 BUY Yes $7.10 6m ago
  • 0x655e…e0cc BUY Yes $1.41 6m ago
  • 0x76db…6987 BUY Yes $14.19 6m ago
  • 0x2259…7e30 BUY Yes $7.10 6m ago
  • 0xdc41…dd7e BUY No $3102.26 6m ago
  • 0x7e59…7b8b BUY No $290.39 6m ago
  • 0x460a…d738 SELL Yes $142.00 6m ago
  • 0x032e…2a9e BUY No $488.30 6m ago
  • 0x7e59…7b8b BUY No $290.00 6m ago
  • 0x6d8f…8d48 BUY No $2.32 7m ago
  • 0x6d8f…8d48 BUY No $2.32 7m ago
  • 0x26b0…b22d SELL No $5.38 7m ago
  • 0x8c0d…f04c BUY No $5.00 7m ago
  • 0xf9d6…476b BUY Yes $30.00 8m ago
  • 0x673b…be20 SELL No $5.88 8m ago
  • 0x626b…c016 BUY Yes $1.00 8m ago
  • 0x868f…f3d7 BUY Yes $4.00 9m ago
  • 0x75e4…f1a6 BUY No $4.01 9m ago
  • 0x166d…56ad BUY Yes $1.00 9m ago
  • 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $168.28 10m ago

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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