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China x India military clash by...?

Geopolitics Vol. $313,470 50 traders

December 31, 202612%
December 310%
June 300%
$313,470 Vol. Geopolitics

Outcomes

3
Chance
June 30 Resolved
0%
December 31 Resolved
0%
December 31, 2026
12%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa937…4152 SELL No $6.60 12h ago
  • 0x51de…9e4a BUY No $225.29 12h ago
  • 0x9de5…c43b BUY No $1.00 15h ago
  • 0x60b8…945f SELL Yes $1.00 17h ago
  • 0xd434…93bb BUY No $1.87 19h ago
  • 0x677c…6023 BUY No $5.00 21h ago
  • 0x1398…913f BUY No $2.94 Jul 27
  • 0x8f07…f190 BUY No $2.76 Jul 27
  • 0x500e…e6dc SELL Yes $1.10 Jul 26
  • 0xc59b…e4ce BUY No $1.03 Jul 26
  • 0x8535…25df BUY No $100.57 Jul 26
  • 0xcea9…9b79 SELL No $2.42 Jul 26
  • 0xfc47…9f37 SELL No $2.09 Jul 26
  • 0xdaee…8559 SELL No $4.40 Jul 26
  • 0x7532…2a88 SELL No $264.00 Jul 25
  • 0x1799…2c15 SELL No $4.94 Jul 25
  • 0x5df5…e8cc BUY No $17.80 Jul 25
  • 0x6ef6…92e4 BUY Yes $11.00 Jul 25
  • 0x8b82…acf3 SELL No $2.75 Jul 25
  • 0xe85e…fd9f SELL No $4.40 Jul 24
  • 0x4044…b7eb BUY No $2.69 Jul 24
  • 0x6f91…2547 SELL No $0.99 Jul 24
  • 0x6f91…2547 BUY No $1.00 Jul 24
  • 0x95b6…7e9a SELL No $0.94 Jul 24
  • 0xab30…bdeb BUY No $3.95 Jul 24
  • 0xc315…fe18 BUY No $9.99 Jan 1
  • 0xc315…fe18 BUY No $1501.62 Jan 1
  • 0x2763…5eed BUY No $1.00 Dec 31
  • 0xda3d…f39d SELL No $2.00 Dec 31
  • 0x272d…9e36 BUY No $60.00 Dec 31
  • 0xda3d…f39d BUY No $2.00 Dec 31
  • 0xf903…bf5a BUY No $15.00 Dec 31
  • 0xf903…bf5a BUY No $15.00 Dec 31
  • 0x9c70…d41e BUY No $11.00 Dec 31
  • 0x9c70…d41e BUY No $11.00 Dec 31
  • 0x70df…18d7 BUY No $23.00 Dec 31
  • 0x6f98…bb84 BUY No $5.00 Dec 31
  • 0x6f98…bb84 BUY No $5.00 Dec 31
  • 0xc315…fe18 BUY No $63.35 Dec 31
  • 0x4a8e…9525 BUY No $1.40 Dec 30

This is a market on the likelihood of a military clash between China and India occurring by December 31.

Comments

Yarmolenko Jul 20

Very very low threshold: Hand-to-hand combat with the use of melee weapons between military personnel, will qualify. For example the 2020 Galwan Valley clash and the 2022 Yangtse clash would both count.

Yarmolenko Jul 20

Very very low threshold: Hand-to-hand combat with the use of melee weapons between military personnel, will qualify. For example the 2020 Galwan Valley clash and the 2022 Yangtse clash would both count.

Soloman Jan 6

Pakistan has destroyed India's air superiority. If China crosses the border, India may have to change its capital again.

GodPlsSaveMe Feb 2

lol

shitdot Feb 18

in your dreams lil buddy wipe yo butt

PakistanKiMaakaaa Feb 18

Acha lode?

Rockbean Mar 16

Wait, are you being sarcastic? What would they call it then, New New Delhi?

Noctus Dec 20

what's going on why is there a 54% chance of India X China military clash?

91geniusboy Nov 17

China is the most amicable nation, and I firmly believe there will be no clash especially India

0x85112F046eC853c036352505Dc93222bB7328Fd2-1770076551563 Mar 14

i dont think there will be any clash, but china is not an amicable nation.

seanyu24 Aug 24

free money

ChampaLiberation Oct 14

says a non-holder of either side?

SKT-T1 Jun 12

explain this

rhonin Feb 17

who the fxxk care about india

drvplay Apr 12

I love my India

esports095 Jan 31

Strange market