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Best AI model on August 10?

AI Vol. $52,380 50 traders

Other96%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking1%
claude-fable-51%
claude-opus-4-61%
$52,380 Vol. AI

Outcomes

4
Chance
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
1% ▼ 76
claude-opus-4-6
<1%
claude-fable-5
<1%
Other
96% ▲ 74

Recent trades

40
  • 0x6f8f…7d34 BUY Yes $2.00 1h ago
  • 0xfbe3…6599 SELL Yes $4.49 1h ago
  • 0x34d0…264e BUY Yes $194.00 1h ago
  • 0x34d0…264e BUY Yes $48.00 2h ago
  • 0x34d0…264e BUY Yes $384.00 2h ago
  • 0x93a9…0b88 SELL No $0.21 2h ago
  • 0x9eda…6e19 SELL No $2.73 5h ago
  • 0x59b8…11a5 SELL No $14.42 5h ago
  • 0x2799…b1e1 SELL Yes $0.42 5h ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL Yes $1.73 6h ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $0.74 6h ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $4.26 7h ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL Yes $3.17 7h ago
  • 0x49dd…2a32 SELL No $2.80 8h ago
  • 0x05ac…6d71 BUY Yes $23.25 8h ago
  • 0x05ac…6d71 BUY Yes $22.99 8h ago
  • 0x51c3…75ba BUY Yes $1.00 8h ago
  • 0x51c3…75ba BUY Yes $14.98 9h ago
  • 0x4329…8867 BUY Yes $2.50 9h ago
  • 0xcdf5…e344 SELL Yes $0.25 9h ago
  • 0x8a52…d74c SELL Yes $188.47 9h ago
  • 0xcdf5…e344 SELL Yes $1.00 9h ago
  • 0xcb48…be6d SELL Yes $1.16 9h ago
  • 0xcb48…be6d SELL Yes $11.95 9h ago
  • 0x4435…786f SELL Yes $5.00 9h ago
  • 0xf333…ba41 SELL Yes $15.10 9h ago
  • 0x9eda…6e19 SELL Yes $5.00 9h ago
  • 0x0182…34ea SELL Yes $3.45 9h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $18.80 9h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.96 9h ago
  • 0x3c18…32c3 SELL No $2.77 9h ago
  • 0x876b…1703 SELL No $240.37 9h ago
  • 0x876b…1703 SELL Yes $277.74 9h ago
  • 0xc89e…cf92 SELL No $42.50 10h ago
  • 0xb89f…1c44 BUY Yes $44.90 10h ago
  • 0x0182…34ea SELL Yes $0.02 10h ago
  • 0x0182…34ea SELL Yes $0.10 10h ago
  • 0x0182…34ea SELL Yes $0.02 10h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.45 11h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.04 11h ago

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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