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Bank of Japan Decision in September?

BOJ Vol. $106,585 50 traders

No change78%
25 bps increase24%
50+ bps increase0%
50+ bps decrease0%
$106,585 Vol. BOJ

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
78% ▼ 9
25 bps increase
24% ▲ 10
50+ bps increase
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x6b49…2e46 BUY Yes $119.42 1h ago
  • 0xc518…2594 BUY No $49.91 1h ago
  • 0xc518…2594 BUY No $38.95 1h ago
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $49.95 3h ago
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $49.95 3h ago
  • 0xf143…4ef2 BUY Yes $71.87 3h ago
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $38.50 3h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $32.45 3h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $42.06 3h ago
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $49.90 3h ago
  • 0xadb5…e421 SELL Yes $0.01 10h ago
  • 0xefdd…8370 BUY No $18.67 11h ago
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL Yes $30.90 11h ago
  • 0xefdd…8370 SELL No $30.45 11h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $0.02 13h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $0.02 13h ago
  • 0xe347…b438 SELL Yes $0.04 13h ago
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $39.00 14h ago
  • 0x5edc…bbad SELL No $54.78 14h ago
  • 0x0f99…6734 SELL No $1.51 15h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $10.00 15h ago
  • 0x74f3…c48b BUY Yes $500.00 15h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $499.00 15h ago
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $49.95 15h ago
  • 0xc518…2594 BUY No $49.96 15h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $169.83 15h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $499.50 15h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.99 15h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $29.97 15h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $9.99 15h ago
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $49.95 15h ago
  • 0xc518…2594 BUY No $49.96 15h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $29.97 15h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $499.50 15h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $6.00 15h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $2.00 15h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $180.38 15h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $100.00 15h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $9.62 15h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $100.00 15h ago

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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