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Bank of Japan Decision in July?

BOJ Vol. $340,314 50 traders

No change99%
50+ bps increase1%
25 bps increase1%
25 bps decrease0%
$340,314 Vol. BOJ

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
99%
25 bps increase
1%
50+ bps increase
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x2cfe…e4de BUY No $1.51 9m ago
  • 0xc5a8…6095 SELL Yes $0.99 37m ago
  • 0xfef9…759b SELL Yes $0.99 37m ago
  • 0x08da…239a SELL Yes $0.99 37m ago
  • 0x9db9…cfc8 SELL Yes $0.99 37m ago
  • 0x50ee…f50b SELL Yes $0.99 37m ago
  • 0xc5a8…6095 BUY Yes $1.00 45m ago
  • 0x9db9…cfc8 BUY Yes $1.00 45m ago
  • 0xfef9…759b BUY Yes $1.00 45m ago
  • 0x50ee…f50b BUY Yes $1.00 45m ago
  • 0x08da…239a BUY Yes $1.00 45m ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $0.16 49m ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $9.88 49m ago
  • 0x973c…a4f5 BUY Yes $3.71 49m ago
  • 0x7e59…7b8b BUY No $1.70 2h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $32.86 2h ago
  • 0x168e…d4b9 BUY No $20.00 3h ago
  • 0xa382…44de BUY No $31.68 3h ago
  • 0x99fe…5705 SELL Yes $0.90 3h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $0.14 3h ago
  • 0x8728…0882 BUY Yes $0.84 3h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.98 3h ago
  • 0xae0d…d398 BUY Yes $5.00 4h ago
  • 0xde01…1fc6 BUY No $5.00 4h ago
  • 0xa382…44de BUY Yes $31.68 4h ago
  • 0x28d0…4955 BUY No $1.00 4h ago
  • 0x8373…f0bc SELL Yes $0.12 4h ago
  • 0x8373…f0bc SELL Yes $0.03 4h ago
  • 0x8373…f0bc BUY No $0.32 5h ago
  • 0x8373…f0bc BUY No $8.98 5h ago
  • 0x3dd2…9ab1 BUY No $0.99 5h ago
  • 0x3dd2…9ab1 BUY No $70.86 5h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $0.14 5h ago
  • 0xcb7e…28dd BUY Yes $1.17 5h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.98 5h ago
  • 0x99fe…5705 BUY Yes $4.95 5h ago
  • 0x7e59…7b8b BUY No $16.49 6h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $11.90 6h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $24.01 8h ago
  • 0x4c22…0960 BUY Yes $3.57 8h ago

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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