← Markets

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

Brazil Vol. $28,912 50 traders

No Change53%
25 bps decrease48%
50+ bps decrease1%
25 bps increase1%
$28,912 Vol. Brazil

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps increase
<1% ▼ 3
No Change
53% ▲ 4
25 bps decrease
48%
50+ bps decrease
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa3dd…975f SELL Yes $4.90 7h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $22.95 7h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $22.95 7h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.97 7h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $9.98 7h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $9.98 7h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.96 7h ago
  • 0x0f99…6734 SELL No $22.80 7h ago
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $2.40 7h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $5.19 7h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $11.94 7h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $22.91 7h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $15.62 7h ago
  • 0xf057…ab54 SELL No $25.72 7h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $50.96 7h ago
  • 0x229a…3c6d BUY Yes $159.42 7h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $39.50 15h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $40.29 15h ago
  • 0x1229…df38 BUY Yes $87.71 15h ago
  • 0x2108…d3dd SELL No $10.20 19h ago
  • 0x6406…bc04 SELL No $10.20 19h ago
  • 0xf057…ab54 SELL No $10.91 Jul 26
  • 0x7a16…518b BUY Yes $20.00 Jul 26
  • 0x7e64…c43e BUY No $10.36 Jul 26
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $7.61 Jul 26
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $21.30 Jul 26
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $13.14 Jul 26
  • 0x7e64…c43e BUY Yes $20.58 Jul 26
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $11.04 Jul 26
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $21.23 Jul 26
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $5.15 Jul 26
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.96 Jul 26
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.20 Jul 26
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $10.40 Jul 26
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $10.34 Jul 26
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.92 Jul 26
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.20 Jul 26
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $10.40 Jul 26
  • 0x290e…1e65 SELL No $25.80 Jul 26
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.92 Jul 26

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 14-15, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Brazil's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Comments