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Another NATO article 4 by...?

Romania Vol. $8,163 50 traders

August 3112%
October 3121%
December 3133%
$8,163 Vol. Romania

Outcomes

3
Chance
August 31
12% ▲ 1
October 31
21% ▼ 11
December 31
33% ▼ 8

Recent trades

40
  • 0x7e26…915c BUY Yes $3.29 6h ago
  • 0xd466…17dd BUY Yes $2.00 6h ago
  • 0x738a…5996 BUY Yes $32.90 6h ago
  • 0x4b8a…f4a4 SELL Yes $13.02 7h ago
  • 0x4b8a…f4a4 SELL Yes $9.12 7h ago
  • 0x4b8a…f4a4 SELL Yes $5.50 7h ago
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL Yes $2.38 9h ago
  • 0x1d77…fdbe BUY No $44.50 11h ago
  • 0x9fb7…3297 BUY Yes $1.00 12h ago
  • 0x9fb7…3297 BUY Yes $1.00 12h ago
  • 0xc8ab…6418 SELL No $1.71 12h ago
  • 0xc8ab…6418 SELL No $11.75 12h ago
  • 0x5c11…a98d SELL Yes $3.85 13h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $6.64 13h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $1.00 13h ago
  • 0x300c…6a92 SELL Yes $2.43 13h ago
  • 0x300c…6a92 SELL No $7.29 13h ago
  • 0xa815…9cbe BUY Yes $3.00 14h ago
  • 0x054a…f218 BUY Yes $20.00 14h ago
  • 0x2130…ffb2 SELL No $0.15 14h ago
  • 0xc6e9…057f SELL Yes $1.60 14h ago
  • 0x2130…ffb2 SELL No $0.04 14h ago
  • 0x2a79…38be SELL Yes $1.60 14h ago
  • 0x50bd…ee34 SELL Yes $0.90 15h ago
  • 0x2816…14d5 SELL Yes $1.00 15h ago
  • 0xe915…3492 SELL Yes $2.00 15h ago
  • 0xad9b…086b SELL Yes $2.00 15h ago
  • 0x288b…a5a8 SELL Yes $1.00 15h ago
  • 0x709c…ce87 SELL Yes $2.00 15h ago
  • 0x64ef…bf82 SELL Yes $2.00 15h ago
  • 0xb21d…2f06 SELL Yes $7.00 15h ago
  • 0xa815…9cbe BUY Yes $2.31 15h ago
  • 0x2d78…5b09 BUY Yes $3.00 16h ago
  • 0x9fb7…3297 BUY Yes $1.00 16h ago
  • 0x907c…23c1 SELL Yes $4.80 17h ago
  • 0x6dcb…4f53 SELL No $2.06 17h ago
  • 0x6dcb…4f53 SELL Yes $1.77 17h ago
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL No $14.06 17h ago
  • 0x8ca3…2d23 BUY Yes $10.00 18h ago
  • 0x2130…ffb2 SELL No $0.20 18h ago

NATO's Article 4 allows any member to call for consultations with allies if it believes its territorial integrity, political independence, or security to be threatened. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO member invokes Article 4 of the North Atlantic Treaty between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Article 4 is considered invoked as soon as a member formally requests consultations with NATO allies under Article 4, regardless of whether the request is later revoked. For example, Poland's request for consultations on September 10, 2025, or Estonia's request on September 24, 2025 would each qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If a member state only expresses intent to or is considering invoking Article 4, that alone does not suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO; authoritative statements from the requesting member government may also be used.

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