Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
Outcomes
2Recent trades
40- 0x5449…992b SELL No $16.71 7m ago
- 0xcdf8…b8ea BUY No $2226.24 7m ago
- 0x5449…992b SELL No $0.57 46m ago
- 0x0275…b936 SELL Yes $0.33 46m ago
- 0x6752…d610 SELL Yes $2.03 2h ago
- 0x5449…992b SELL No $0.66 4h ago
- 0x8296…e9cb SELL Yes $2.59 4h ago
- 0x44fc…ac29 BUY No $227.09 5h ago
- 0x5e7d…ca41 SELL No $78.81 6h ago
- 0x68af…93d2 BUY Yes $99.36 6h ago
- 0x68af…93d2 BUY Yes $100.00 6h ago
- 0x133a…8397 BUY No $6.00 6h ago
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $25.00 7h ago
- 0xa278…5924 BUY No $75.00 7h ago
- 0x49dd…2a32 SELL No $29.20 8h ago
- 0x6f19…b9ff SELL No $9.37 9h ago
- 0x6f19…b9ff SELL No $872.25 9h ago
- 0x6f19…b9ff SELL No $2994.00 9h ago
- 0x5923…49cd SELL No $5.83 9h ago
- 0x1690…9d6c SELL No $20.34 9h ago
- 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL No $1.02 9h ago
- 0x68af…93d2 BUY Yes $132.35 9h ago
- 0x68af…93d2 SELL Yes $7.08 9h ago
- 0x6f19…b9ff BUY No $51.49 9h ago
- 0x5414…d35a SELL Yes $12.67 9h ago
- 0x4b9b…7a9f BUY Yes $1.00 10h ago
- 0x7b12…865b SELL Yes $0.70 10h ago
- 0xdd4d…fe0d SELL Yes $17.98 10h ago
- 0x6f19…b9ff BUY No $177.72 10h ago
- 0x6f19…b9ff BUY No $229.97 10h ago
- 0xe5f6…d9f2 SELL Yes $0.71 10h ago
- 0x419f…e853 SELL No $0.99 10h ago
- 0x27e9…39b2 BUY Yes $20.00 12h ago
- 0x6cb0…4a25 BUY No $14.00 13h ago
- 0x7229…d217 BUY Yes $88.32 14h ago
- 0x44fc…ac29 BUY No $702.00 14h ago
- 0xcdcd…8279 BUY No $12.92 15h ago
- 0xc327…31f5 BUY Yes $13.39 18h ago
- 0x6e80…e98b SELL No $0.99 19h ago
- 0x8dc0…9047 SELL No $0.99 19h ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comments
December 31st Yes is in reality equivalent to "Will Tate be granted bail" and the answer to that is an unequivocal no because bail is extremely rare in extradition cases, let alone ones involving 52 charges of violent rape, assault, trafficking and CSAM.
They'll stay in jail for another 2 weeks. Next court date August 13
by the listed date
Why would he be in custody by the end of the year?
Because extradition proceedings take a very long time and he isn't getting bail. He also would not get bail in the UK if shipped over, in which case he's still in custody according to the rules.
Free the bottom G
Why Dec 31 "No" is still cheap at 82¢ 19% Yes prices in a real path to release in the next five months. Walk through them and they mostly close: Bail. This isn't an ordinary federal case - the Bail Reform Act doesn't govern international extradition. Wright v. Henkel (1903) is still the rule: no presumption in favor of bail, and the burden sits on the fugitive to show "special circumstances," which courts read narrowly (grave illness, extraordinary delay, a facially defective request). Being a good bail candidate isn't enough on its own. Prosecutors have already asked for detention without bond, arguing danger to the community and flight risk. The hearing itself. The government's burden at certification is only probable cause. No Federal Rules of Evidence, hearsay comes in, and the defense can't mount a case - only evidence that obliterates probable cause. Dual criminality for rape and trafficking under the 2003 treaty is trivially met. Appeals. There's no direct appeal from a certification order. The only review is a §2241 habeas petition, then the Eleventh Circuit - and he sits in FDC Miami throughout. Aggressive litigation lengthens the process; it doesn't shorten custody. Contested high-profile extraditions run in years, not months. The political exit just closed. Rubio and the white house have said publicly the administration won't intervene. State has granted nearly every UK request since the 2007 treaty took effect.
Well written 👏
Yeah, he done for
Top Goy sentenced for life?
Just out, he will be extradited
Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody. Oops, poor Mr troll
I've recently been struggling with polymarket and im at a significant loss of money. Could you please alert me of the trades you do so i could do the exact opposite.
Bet ‘No’ then :)
If you think he will be extradited why are you betting so much on December Yes?
His lawyer is dumb as rocks, and also he has self snitched so much that it's basically over for him
Add other dates bruv
Lebron
He’s def life in prison
What colour is your jail cell? 😂😂😂😂 haha fucking bum
hahahaha love it dude
why are there no explicit rules about his death? If he dies? Which should be a concern for everyone, is this yes or no?
Bro, you are on polymarket for a year. Don't be fucking stupid.
it will be No, as in your case he would be released for sure, but after being dead...some nuances right here
bad faith market
😭
rot in jail pls
zero Epstein arrests btw