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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Politics Vol. $379,538 50 traders

Jean-Luc Mélenchon96%
Marine Le Pen89%
Édouard Philippe88%
Fabien Roussel86%
$379,538 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

46
Chance
Marine Le Pen
89%
Jordan Bardella
13%
Éric Zemmour
79% ▲ 3
Édouard Philippe
88%
David Lisnard
64% ▲ 3
Xavier Bertrand
17%
Laurent Wauquiez
3%
François Ruffin
36%
Gabriel Attal
27% ▲ 2
Bruno Retailleau
77% ▲ 3
François Hollande
38% ▼ 1
Raphaël Glucksmann
66% ▲ 1
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96%
Marine Tondelier
26% ▼ 1
Fabien Roussel
86% ▼ 3
Olivier Faure
15%
Dominique de Villepin
34% ▲ 4
Ségolène Royal
4%
François Asselineau
10%
Clémentine Autain
2% ▼ 1
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
57% ▲ 1
Michel Barnier
5%
Valérie Pécresse
3%
François Bayrou
5%
Élisabeth Borne
6%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
5%
Jean Castex
5%
Gérald Darmanin
5%
Carole Delga
4%
Bernard Cazeneuve
6%
Manuel Bompard
8%
Mathilde Panot
3%
Sarah Knafo
14% ▼ 1
Sébastien Lecornu
6%
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
8%
Nathalie Arthaud
86%
Delphine Batho
8%
Jérôme Guedj
3%
Karim Bouamrane
4%
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
7%
Manuel Valls
5%
Teddy Riner
6%
Matthieu Pigasse
7%
Juan Branco
12% ▼ 1
Philippe de Villiers
4%
Bally Bagayoko
5%

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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